Andrea Lee is heavily favored against Roxanne Modafferi at UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill on Saturday, September 12 in Las Vegas Nevada. This event is one of five fights on the main card on ESPN+. Modafferi is 24-17 in her career, while Lee is 11-4 in her career. There are a total of five fights on the main card on UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill, with the headliner a bout between Michelle Waterson and Angela Hill. There are also a total of eight fights on the preliminary card on ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between Modafferi and Lee and UFC picks.
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Roxanne Modafferi (24-17, 3-4 UFC)
Modafferi came into the UFC with a record of 21-13 and she has three wins and four losses in the UFC. She defeated Barb Honchak by TKO, Antonina Shevchenko by split decision, and Maycee Barber by unanimous decision; while losing to Nicco Montaño by unanimous decision, Sijara Eubanks by unanimous decision, Jennifer Maia by unanimous decision, and Lauren Murphy by unanimous decision. Modafferi has been a pro since 2003 and she has four wins by TKO/KO and five by submission. She has two first round finishes.
Andrea Lee (11-4, 3-2 UFC)
Lee came into the UFC with a record of 8-2 and she has three wins and two losses in the UFC. She defeated Veronica Macedo by unanimous decision, Ashlee Evans-Smith by unanimous decision, and Montana De La Rosa by unanimous decision; while losing to Joanne Calderwood by split decision and Lauren Murphy by split decision. Lee has been a pro since 2014 and she has two wins by TKO/KO and four by submission. She has two first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Modafferi 3.04/ Lee 5.40
Striking Accuracy: Modafferi 30% / Lee 48%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Modafferi 4.80/ Lee 3.80
Defense: Modafferi 54% / Lee 65%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Modafferi 1.29/ Lee 1.40
Takedown Accuracy: Modafferi 21% / Lee 38%
Takedowns defended: Modafferi 40% / Lee 61%
Submission average: Modafferi 0.1/ Lee 0.6
UFC Picks
Lee is heavily favored in this fight, as she is listed as more than a 3-1 favorite against Modafferi. I lean a little bit toward Lee in this one, but there is no way I am laying this type of price in a fight that appears to be relatively even. What has Lee done to deserve this type of respect? Who has she beaten? Wins against Macedo, Evans-Smith and De La Rosa are okay, but nothing special. I know Modafferi hasn’t beaten anyone of note either, but I can’t get excited about laying 3-1 on Lee. Neither of these two fighters has any power, so unless there is a submission this one is going to a decision. I will go over the rounds total in this fight.
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill takes place at the UFC APEX facility in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, September 12 with five fights on the main card on ESPN+, headlined by Michelle Waterson and Angela Hill and eight preliminary bouts on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill Card & Odds
Women’s Strawweight: Michelle Waterson +103 vs. Angela Hill -127
Lightweight: Khama Worthy -132 vs. Ottman Azaitar +108
Women’s Flyweight: Roxanne Modafferi +247 vs. Andrea Lee -310
Flyweight: Tysan Nam -117 vs. Matt Schnell -107
Lightweight: Brok Weaver +184 vs. Frank Camacho -225
Featherweight: Kyle Nelson +204 vs. Billy Quarantillo -251
Welterweight: Anthony Ivy +208 vs. Bryan Barberena -255
Lightweight: Roosevelt Roberts -118 vs. Matt Frevola -106
Women’s Flyweight: Justine Kish +200 vs. Sabina Mazo -245
Light Heavyweight: Ed Herman +200 vs. Mike Rodriguez -245
Women’s Bantamweight: Sijara Eubanks +235 vs. Julia Avila -293
Lightweight: Alan Patrick +213 vs. Bobby Green -264
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