Tai Tuivasa is slightly favored against Marcin Tybura at UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura on Saturday, March 16 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of 13 fights on ESPN+. Tuivasa is 14-6 in his career, including 8-6 in the UFC, while Tybura is 24-8 in his career, including 11-7 in the UFC. There are a total of 13 fights, all on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura. Let’s look at the bout between Tuivasa and Tybura and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, March 16 with 13 fights, all on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura Betting
Tai Tuivasa (14-6, 8-6 UFC)
Tuivasa came into the UFC with a record of 6-0 and he has eight wins and six losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has three wins and three losses. He defeated Greg Hardy by KO, Augusto Sakai by KO, and Derrick Lewis by KO; while losing to Ciryl Gane by KO, Sergei Pavlovich by KO, and Alexander Volkov by Ezekiel choke submission. Tuivasa has been a pro since 2012 and he has 13 wins by TKO/KO and one by decision. He has 11 first round finishes.
Marcin Tybura (24-8, 11-7 UFC)
Tybura came into the UFC with a record of 13-1 and he has 11 wins and seven losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has four wins and two losses. He defeated Greg Hardy by TKO, Walt Harris by TKO, Alexander Romanov by majority decision, and Blagoy Ivanov by unanimous decision; while losing to Alexander Volkov by unanimous decision and Tom Aspinall by TKO. Tybura has been a pro since 2011 and he has nine wins by TKO/KO and six by submission. He has 10 first round finishes.
Tybura said this to supersport.com about his upcoming fight against Tuivasa, “I feel very comfortable in a brawl. I don’t like to wait much. I feel like if he goes forward, I will be there, and we will exchange a lot. His striking is great, but I’m also there. I’ve focused on movement a lot and I don’t think it’ll be a boring fight.”
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Tuivasa 3.98 /Tybura 3.55
Striking Accuracy: Tuivasa 49% /Tybura 48%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Tuivasa 4.98/Tybura 3.35
Defense: Tuivasa 43% /Tybura 55%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Tuivasa 0.00/Tybura 1.39
Takedown Accuracy: Tuivasa 0%/Tybura 33%
Takedowns defended: Tuivasa 54%/Tybura 79%
Submission average: Tuivasa 0.0/Tybura 0.1
UFC Picks
The UFC odds on this fight are close to a pick. There is not much doubt this will be a striking battle. When it comes to significant strikes, “Bam” is connecting on an average of 3.98 a minute while Tybura is connecting on average of 3.55 a minute. Tuivasa is defending against 43 percent of significant strikes thrown in his direction while Tybura is defending against 55 percent.
The rounds on this fight are either 1.5 with the over at -150 or you could choose 2.5 and take the under at -230. What that tells me is that oddsmakers don’t think this fight is going to last long. I am definitely not laying more than 2-1 in UFC odds and getting just one more round. I think the value is on the under 1.5 rounds. We can get plus money on that prop. We know that this will be a striking battle for as long as it lasts. Both of these fighters have finishing power and neither is going to be afraid to get into a striking war where one punch could end the fight. Tuivasa has 14 knockout wins and 13 of those came in the first round. Tybura has 15 finishes in his career and 10 of those came in the first round. I think there is a good chance we get a first-round knockout by one of the two fighters, so I will go under 1.5 rounds at plus money.
| DATE | FIGHTERS | MONEY LINE |
| 03/16 | Marcin Tybura | +100 |
| Tai Tuivasa | -130 |
| 03/16 | Ange Loosa | +135 |
| Bryan Battle | -170 |
| 03/16 | Ovince St. Preux | +365 |
| Kennedy Nzechukwu | -525 |
| 03/16 | Pannie Kianzad | +158 |
| Macy Chiasson | -200 |
| 03/16 | Bryan Barberena | +176 |
| Gerald Meerschaert | -225 |
| 03/16 | Natan Levy | +228 |
| Mike Davis | -300 |
| 03/16 | Chelsea Chandler | +115 |
| Josiane Nunes | -145 |
| 03/16 | Christian Rodriguez | +150 |
| Isaac Dulgarian | -190 |
| 03/16 | Ode Osbourne | +143 |
| Jafel Filho | -180 |
| 03/16 | Danny Silva | +146 |
| Josh Culibao | -185 |
| 03/16 | Cory McKenna | -130 |
| Jaqualine Amorim | +100 |
| 03/16 | Chad Anheliger | +135 |
| Charalampos Grigoriou | -170 |
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