A heavyweight fight between Walt Harris and Marcin Tybura is set for Saturday night at UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai in Las Vegas, Nevada. Harris is 13-9-1 in his career and coming off two losses, while Tybura is 21-6 and on a four-fight winning streak. This fight is one of six on the main card on ESPN+, with the headliner a heavyweight bout between Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Augusto Sakai. There are also eight preliminary bouts, also on ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between Harris and Tybura and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai Betting
Walt Harris (13-9-1, 18-8 UFC)
Harris came into the UFC with a record of 6-1 and he has seven wins, eight losses and a no contest in the UFC. In his last five fights, he has two wins, two losses and a no contest. He is coming off a TKO loss to Alexander Volkov in October of last year. Harris lost by TKO to Alistair Overeem in May of last year, won by knockout against Aleksei Oleinik in July of 2019, won by TKO against Sergey Spivak in May of 2019 and he fought a no contest against Andrei Arlovski in December of 2018. Harris has been a pro since 2011 and he has 13 wins by TKO/KO and none by submission. He has 11 first round finishes.
Marcin Tybura (21-6, 8-5 UFC)
Tybura came into the UFC with a record of 13-1 and he has eight wins and five losses in the UFC. Tybura is 4-1 in his last five fights. He is coming off a TKO win against Greg Hardy in December of last year, won a unanimous decision against Ben Rothwell in October of last year, won a unanimous decision against Maxim Grishin in July of last year, won a unanimous decision against Sergey Spivak in February of last year and lost by knockout to Augusto Sakai in September of 2019. Tybura has been a pro since 2011 and he has eight wins by TKO/KO and six by submission. He has nine first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Harris 2.95/ Tybura 3.70
Striking Accuracy: Harris 38% / Tybura 50%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Harris 3.43/ Tybura 3.25
Defense: Harris 54% / Tybura 56%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Harris 0.30 / Tybura 1.62
Takedown Accuracy: Harris 28% / Tybura 45%
Takedowns defended: Harris 72% / Tybura 82%
Submission average: Harris 0.1 / Tybura 0.1
UFC Picks
Tybura is listed as the favorite in this fight, but I am not that impressed with him. He has won four straight, but none of the four wins were against top competition. I know Harris has dropped his last two, but he has fought better fighters of late and we know he has knockout power. I think the odds on this fight should be closer to a pick and I think Harris has a good chance to win and we get him at +139.
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai Card & Odds
Heavyweight: Augusto Sakai +100 vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik -130
Heavyweight: Walt Harris +139 vs. Marcin Tybura -175
Heavyweight: Ilir Latifi +158 vs. Tanner Boser -200
Welterweight: Santiago Ponzinibbio -115 vs. Miguel Baeza -115
Women's Flyweight: Maryna Moroz +127 vs. Manon Fiorot -160
Featherweight: Youssef Zalal +146 vs. Sean Woodson -185
Lightweight: Alan Patrick +228 vs. Mason Jones -300
Women's Flyweight: Montana De La Rosa -270 vs. Ariane Lipski +207
Middleweight: Antonio Arroyo +194 vs. Tom Breese -250
Lightweight: Claudio Puelles +161 vs. Jordan Leavitt -205
Middleweight: Roman Dolidze -150 vs. Laureano Staropoli +120
Middleweight: Gregory Rodrigues +127 vs. Dusko Todorovic -160
Welterweight: Francisco Trinaldo +194 vs. Muslim Salikhov -250
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