Yan Xiaonan is favored against Tabatha Ricci at UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo on Saturday, November 23 in Macau, SAR, China. This event is one of 14 fights on ESPN+. Xiaonan is 18-4 in her career, including 8-3 in the UFC, while Ricci is 11-2 in her career, including 6-1 in the UFC. There are a total of 14 fights, all on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo. Let’s look at the bout between Xiaonan and Ricci and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo takes place at Galaxy Arena in Macau, SAR, China on Saturday, November 23 with 14 fights, all on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo Betting
Yan Xiaonan (18-4, 8-3 UFC)
Xiaonan came into the UFC with a record of 10-1 and she has eight wins and three losses in the UFC. She defeated Kailin Curran by unanimous decision, Viviane Pereira by unanimous decision, Syuri Kondo by unanimous decision, Angela Hill by unanimous decision, Karolina Kowalkiewicz by unanimous decision, Cláudia Gadelha by unanimous decision, Mackenzie Dern by majority decision, and Jessica Andrade by KO; while losing to Carla Esparza by TKO, Marina Rodriguez by split decision, and Zhang Weili by unanimous decision. Xiaonan has been a pro since 2008 and she has eight wins by TKO/KO and one by submission. She has eight first round finishes.
Tabatha Ricci (11-2, 6-2 UFC)
Ricci came into the UFC with a record of 5-0 and she has six wins and two losses in the UFC. She defeated Maria Oliveira by unanimous decision, Polyana Viana by unanimous decision, Jessica Penne by armbar submission, Gillian Robertson by unanimous decision, Tecia Pennington by split decision, and Angela Hill by unanimous decision; while losing to Manon Fiorot by TKO and Loopy Godinez by split decision. Ricci has been a pro since 2013 and she has one win by TKO/KO and three by submission. She has two first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Xiaonan 4.97 /Ricci 4.63
Striking Accuracy: Xiaonan 44% /Ricci 38%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Xiaonan 3.66/Ricci 5.30
Defense: Xiaonan 58% /Ricci 58%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Xiaonan 1.00/Ricci 2.99
Takedown Accuracy: Xiaonan 73%/Ricci 38%
Takedowns defended: Xiaonan 62%/Ricci 81%
Submission average: Xiaonan 0.0/Ricci 0.1
UFC Picks
Xiaonan is ranked second in the UFC strawweight category and she had her chance to move up to first in the division but lost the title fight against Zhang Weili at UFC 300. There is no question that Xiaonan has a lot of experience and she is known for her striking with eight wins by knockout or technical knockout. Ricci is ranked at No. 10 in the division and she has been impressive with a record of 6-2 in the UFC. She is coming off a win over Angela Hill at UFC on ESPN 62. Ricci would much prefer to take this fight to the ground, as she doesn’t want to turn this into a striking battle against Xiaonan.
This fight is likely going to be one of those striking vs. grappler battles. Normally I would like Xiaonan in this fight since she will be fighting in front of a vocal crowd in support of her in China, but the one weakness that Xiaonan has had in her career has been against good grapplers. The question in this fight is whether or not Ricci qualifies as good on the mat.
One thing for sure in this fight is that I am not laying 2-1 on Xiaonan considering her weakness on the mat. She may very well still get this win, but I don’t think it will be easy. I think the rounds are best choice in this fight. Betting UFC rounds options has been a good strategy for me in recent UFC fights and I think that is the best option here as well. I think Xiaonan will try and avoid getting forced to the mat and I think Ricci will not want to get into a striking battle so there is a good chance this one goes the distance. I will go over the rounds total as my best bet in this fight.
DATE | FIGHTERS | MONEY LINE |
11/23 | Deiveson Figueiredo | +250 |
Petr Yan | -333 |
11/23 | Tabatha Ricci | +163 |
Xiaonan Yan | -207 |
11/23 | Muslim Salikhov | -187 |
Kenan Song | +148 |
11/23 | Ozzy Diaz | +250 |
Zhang Mingyang | -333 |
11/23 | Gabriela Fernandes | +636 |
Cong Wang | -1137 |
11/23 | Carlos Ulberg | -265 |
Volkan Oezdemir | +204 |
11/23 | Carlos Hernandez | -220 |
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | +172 |
11/23 | Xiaocan Feng | -325 |
Ming Shi | +244 |
11/23 | Dong Hoon Choi | -135 |
Kiru Singh Sahota | +105 |
11/23 | Su Young Yu | -147 |
Baergeng Jieleyisi | +117 |
11/23 | Jose Ochoa | +283 |
Lone’er Kavanagh | -385 |
11/23 | Quang Le | -105 |
Long Xiao | -125 |
11/23 | Nikolas Motta | +172 |
Maheshate | +220 |
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