Yorgan De Castro is favored against Carlos Felipe at UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana on Saturday, October 3 in Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. This event is one of five fights on the main card on ESPN+. De Castro is 6-1 in his career, while Felipe is 8-1 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main card on UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana, with the headliner a bout between Holly Holm and Irene Aldana. There are also a total of six fights on the preliminary card on ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between De Castro and Felipe and UFC predictions.
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Yorgan De Castro (6-1, 1-1 UFC)
De Castro came into the UFC with a record of 5-0 and he has one win and one loss in the UFC. He defeated Justin Tafa by KO; while losing to Greg Hardy by unanimous decision. De Castro has been a pro since 2017 and he has five wins by TKO/KO. He has four first round finishes.
Carlos Felipe (8-1, 0-1 UFC)
Felipe came into the UFC with a record of 8-0 and he has no wins and one loss in the UFC. He lost to Sergey Spivak by majority decision. Felipe’s last win in his career was against Francisco Sandro da Silva Bezerra by TKO on May 20, 2017. Felipe has been a pro since 2014 and he has six wins by TKO/KO. He has six first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: De Castro 2.19/ Felipe 2.93
Striking Accuracy: De Castro 41% / Felipe 36%
Strikes absorbed per minute: De Castro 2.99/ Felipe 4.87
Defense: De Castro 54% / Felipe 51%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: De Castro 0.00/ Felipe 0.00
Takedown Accuracy: De Castro 0% / Felipe 0%
Takedowns defended: De Castro 75% / Felipe 57%
Submission average: De Castro 0.0/ Felipe 0.0
UFC Picks
De Castro and Felipe are coming off losses and neither fighter has much experience in the UFC. I am really surprised the odds on De Castro are nearly 3-1, as he has just once UFC win and that was against Justin Tafa. It is just hard for me to lay big money on a fighter who lost to Greg Hardy and that is what De Castro did last time out. Felipe didn’t look bad in a loss to Spivak and I see no reason he can’t stay with De Castro and we get a huge plus price. I will take a shot at the big underdog and go with Felipe in this fight. Neither De Castro nor Felipe looked good late in their last fights, so I expect each to push the pace to try and get the early win, so I will also take the rounds to go under the total.
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana Card & Odds
Women’s Bantamweight - Irene Aldana -107 vs. Holly Holm -117
Women’s Bantamweight - Germaine de Randamie -137 vs. Julianna Pena +113
Welterweight - Court McGee -132 vs. Carlos Condit +108
Women’s Strawweight - Jinh Yu Frey +114 vs. Loma Lookboonmee -138
Heavyweight - Carlos Felipe +209 vs. Yorgan de Castro -256
Bantamweight - Heili Alateng +246 vs. Casey Kenney -308
Featherweight - Josh Culibao +335 vs. Charles Jourdain -439
Lightweight - Jessin Ayari -117 vs. Luigi Vendramini -107
Middleweight - Nassourdine Imavov +123 vs. Jordan Williams -147
Middleweight - Dequan Townsend +243 vs. Dusko Todorovic -303
Middleweight - KB Bhullar +225 vs. Tom Breese -279
Bantamweight - Cameron Else +335 vs. Kyler Phillips -439
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