Ben Rothwell is favored against Andrei Arlovski at UFC on ESPN 4 on Saturday, July 20 in San Antonio, Texas. This event is one of six fights on the main card on ESPN. Arlovski is 27-18 in his career, while Rothwell is 36-11 in his career. There are a total of six fights on the main card on ESPN at UFC on ESPN 4, with the headliner a bout between Rafael dos Anjos and Leon Edwards. There are also a total of seven fights on the preliminary card, all on ESPN. Let’s look at the bout between Arlovski and Rothwell and UFC predictions.
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Andrei Arlovski (27-18, 16-12 UFC)
Arlovski came into the UFC with a record of 3-1 and he has 16 wins and 12 losses in the UFC. In his last five fights, he has two wins and three losses. He defeated Júnior Albini by unanimous decision and Stefan Struve by unanimous decision; while losing to Tai Tuivasa by unanimous decision, Shamil Abdurakhimov by unanimous decision, and Augusto Sakai by split decision. Arlovski has been a pro since 1999 and he has 17 wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. He has 13 first round finishes.
Ben Rothwell (36-11, 6-5 UFC)
Rothwell came into the UFC with a record of 30-6 and he has six wins and five losses in the UFC. He defeated Gilbert Yvel by unanimous decision, Brendan Schaub by KO, Brandon Vera by TKO, Alistair Overeem by TKO, Matt Mitrione by guillotine choke submission, and Josh Barnett by guillotine choke submission; while losing to Cain Velasquez by TKO, Mark Hunt by unanimous decision, Gabriel Gonzaga by guillotine choke submission, Junior dos Santos by unanimous decision, and Blagoy Ivanov by unanimous decision. Rothwell has been a pro since 2001 and he has 20 wins by TKO/KO and 13 by submission. He has 28 first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Arlovski 3.21 / Rothwell 3.06
Striking Accuracy: Arlovski 42% / Rothwell 42%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Arlovski 2.58/ Rothwell 4.00
Defense: Arlovski 59% / Rothwell 48%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Arlovski 0.55/ Rothwell 0.76
Takedown Accuracy: Arlovski 36% / Rothwell 36%
Takedowns defended: Arlovski 79% / Rothwell 69%
Submission average: Arlovski 0.3 / Rothwell 0.4
UFC Predictions
Both Arlovski and Rothwell have faced each other in the past and it resulted in a TKO win for Arlovski in July of 2008. Rothwell is favored in this fight just like he was the last time he faced Arlovski and that is somewhat surprising. This fight has the looks of being one that goes go either way and there is no reason that Arlovski can’t win again and we are getting him at a nearly 2-1 price. I will make two plays in this one and take the price with Arlovski and also play the rounds to go under the total.
UFC on ESPN 4 takes place at AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas on Saturday, July 20, with six fights on the main card on ESPN, headlined by Rafael dos Anjos taking on Leon Edwards and seven preliminary bouts, also on ESPN.
Main Card (ESPN)
Welterweight - Leon Edwards -128 vs. Rafael dos Anjos
Heavyweight - Walt Harris -155 vs. Aleksei Oleinik
Heavyweight - Greg Hardy -115 vs. Juan Adams
Lightweight - Dan Hooker -155 vs. James Vick
Lightweight - Alexander Hernandez -185 vs. Francisco Trinaldo
Heavyweight - Ben Rothwell -190 vs. Andrei Arlovski
Preliminary card (ESPN)
Featherweight - Alex Caceres - 160 vs. Steven Peterson
Women's Bantamweight - Irene Aldana -160 vs. Raquel Pennington
Light Heavyweight - Klidson Abreu -165 vs. Sam Alvey
Women's Flyweight - Jennifer Maia -136 vs. Roxanne Modafferi
Bantamweight - Ray Borg -280 vs. Gabriel Silva
Bantamweight - Jin Soo Son -230 vs. Mario Bautista
Bantamweight - Domingo Pilarte -296 vs. Felipe Colares
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