Olivier Aubin-Mercier is favored over Alexander Hernandez at UFC on FOX 30 on Saturday night in Calgary, Alberta, Canada. This event is one of four on the main card on FOX. Hernandez is 9-1 in his career, while Aubin-Mercier is 11-2 in his career. There are a total of four fights on the main card on FOX, with the headliner a bout between Eddie Alvarez and Dustin Poirier. There are also a total of nine fights on the preliminary card with four on FOX and five on UFC Fight Pass. Let’s look at the bout between Hernandez and Aubin-Mercier and UFC picks.
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Alexander Hernandez (9-1, 1-0 UFC)
Hernandez came into the UFC with a record of 8-1 and he has one win and no losses in the UFC. He defeated Beneil Dariush by KO in March of 2018. His only loss was against Jamall Emmers by split decision in June of 2013. Hernandez has been a pro since 2012 and he has four wins by TKO/KO and two by submission. He is on a seven fight winning streak and has a total of five first round finishes.
Olivier Aubin-Mercier (11-2, 7-2 UFC)
Aubin-Mercier came into the UFC with a record of 4-0 and he has seven wins and two losses in the UFC. He defeated Jake Lindsey by submission, David Michaud by submission, Tony Sims by unanimous decision, Thibault Gouti by submission, Drew Dober by submission, Tony Martin by split decision, and Evan Dunham by TKO; while losing to Chad Laprise by split decision and Carlos Diego Ferreira by unanimous decision. Aubin-Mercier has been a pro since 2011 and has eight wins by submission and one by TKO. He is a on a four fight winning streak and has a total of five first round finishes.
Aubin-Mercier said this to rds.ca about his upcoming fight with Hernandez, “We know he's super explosive, but I do not feel he's so fast and so we practiced our travels a lot. It's not like in boxing; we cannot stay in front of him and let him run out of steam. I really need my head to move and avoid blows. If I just hang with my gloves, the shots will pass.”
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Hernandez 11.43 / Aubin-Mercier 2.78
Accuracy: Hernandez 61% / Aubin-Mercier 53%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Hernandez 5.71/ Aubin-Mercier 2.69
Defense: Hernandez 63% / Aubin-Mercier 58%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Hernandez 0.00 / Aubin-Mercier 3.11
Accuracy: Hernandez 0% / Aubin-Mercier 35%
Takedowns defended: Hernandez 0% / Aubin-Mercier 83%
Submission average: Hernandez 0.0 / Aubin-Mercier 0.6
UFC Picks
Aubin-Mercier is a -135 favorite, which means the fight is basically a toss-up. Hernandez has only fought once in the UFC but he looked good in his win over Dariush. Aubin-Mercier has a lot of wins in the UFC, but his list of victims isn’t that impressive. I will take a shot with the underdog Hernandez in this fight.
UFC on FOX 30 takes place on Saturday, July 28, 2018 at the Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, Alberta, Canada. The main card has four fights on FOX, featuring Eddie Alvarez taking on Dustin Poirier. There are nine fights on the preliminary card with four on FOX and five on UFC Fight Pass.
Main Card (FOX)
Lightweight – Dustin Poirier -181 vs. Eddie Alvarez
Featherweight – Jose Aldo -134 vs. Jeremy Stephens
Women’s Strawweight – Joanna Jedrzejczyk -314 vs. Tecia Torres
Lightweight – Olivier Aubin-Mercier -135 vs. Alexander Hernandez
Preliminary Card (FOX)
Welterweight – Alex Morono -115 vs. Jordan Mein
Lightweight – Islam Makhachev -695 vs. Kajan Johnson
Featherweight – Hakeem Dawodu -424 vs. Austin Arnett
Light Heavyweight - Gadzhimurad Antigulov -160 vs. Ion Cu?elaba
Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)
Lightweight – John Makdessi -165 vs. Ross Pearson
Women’s Flyweight - Katlyn Chookagian -170 vs. Alexis Davis
Flyweight - Matheus Nicolau -236 vs. Dustin Ortiz
Women’s Strawweight - Nina Ansaroff -148 vs. Randa Markos
Lightweight – Devin Powell -128 vs. Álvaro Herrera
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