Hakeem Dawodu is a big favorite over Austin Arnett at UFC on FOX 30 on Saturday night in Calgary, Alberta, Canada. This event is one of four on the preliminary card on FOX. Dawodu is 7-1-1 in his career, while Arnett is 15-4 in his career. There are a total of four fights on the main card on FOX, with the headliner a bout between Eddie Alvarez and Dustin Poirier. There are also a total of nine fights on the preliminary card with four on FOX and five on UFC Fight Pass. Let’s look at the bout between Dawodu and Arnett and UFC picks.
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Hakeem Dawodu (7-1-1, 0-1 UFC)
Dawodu came into the UFC with a record of 7-0-1 and he has no wins and one loss in the UFC. He lost his UFC debut against Danny Henry by technical submission in March of 2018. His last win was against Steven Siler by unanimous decision in March of 2017. Dawodu has been a pro since 2014 and has six wins by TKO/KO. He has two first round finishes.
Austin Arnett (15-4, 0-1 UFC)
Arnett came into the UFC with a record of 15-3 and he has no wins and one loss in the UFC. He lost his UFC debut against Cory Sandhagen by TKO in January of 2018. His last win was against Jake Jokela by submission in June of 2017. Arnett has been a pro since 2012 and has six wins by TKO/KO and five by submission. He has 10 first round finishes
Arnett said this cagesidepress.com about his upcoming matchup against Dawodu, “It’s awesome to know going into the fight you’re fully prepared, fully ready, no excuses. You know, may the best man win and I’m prepared, I’m ready to go. The only thing that sucks is I’ve been thinking about the same dude for like 12 weeks. I’m ready to just get in there and do my thing. I’m excited for it, he’s tough. He’s really good, really skilled, fast, and explosive and hits hard. He’s a dangerous fighter. It’s not going to be easy to win. But I definitely have the skill set to do that, and I will. I think in previous fights we’ve seen that he has plenty of holes in his game. He’s very good and very technical, throws very crisp strikes but he’s vulnerable to certain things on the feet, and there’s things grappling that I think I can take advantage of, too.”
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Dawodu 4.62 / Arnett 5.76
Accuracy: Dawodu 100% / Arnett 37%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Dawodu 3.08/ Arnett 8.99
Defense: Dawodu 60% / Arnett 64%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Dawodu 0.00 / Arnett 0.63
Accuracy: Dawodu 0% / Arnett 100%
Takedowns defended: Dawodu 0% / Arnett 0%
Submission average: Dawodu 0.0 / Arnett 0.6
UFC Picks
Oddmakers have Dawodu as a big favorite, but the price is coming down, as bettors have been taking the underdog. Neither of these fighters has a UFC win and I think the fight could be close, so the value is on Arnett. I will take a small shot on Arnett at the big price.
UFC on FOX 30 takes place on Saturday, July 28, 2018 at the Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, Alberta, Canada. The main card has four fights on FOX, featuring Eddie Alvarez taking on Dustin Poirier. There are nine fights on the preliminary card with four on FOX and five on UFC Fight Pass.
Main Card (FOX)
Lightweight – Dustin Poirier -165 vs. Eddie Alvarez
Featherweight – Jose Aldo -125 vs. Jeremy Stephens
Women’s Strawweight – Joanna Jedrzejczyk -290 vs. Tecia Torres
Lightweight – Olivier Aubin-Mercier -135 vs. Alexander Hernandez
Preliminary Card (FOX)
Welterweight – Alex Morono -115 vs. Jordan Mein
Lightweight – Islam Makhachev -700 vs. Kajan Johnson
Featherweight – Hakeem Dawodu -385 vs. Austin Arnett
Light Heavyweight - Gadzhimurad Antigulov -165 vs. Ion Cu?elaba
Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)
Lightweight – John Makdessi -180 vs. Ross Pearson
Women’s Flyweight - Katlyn Chookagian -170 vs. Alexis Davis
Flyweight - Matheus Nicolau -190 vs. Dustin Ortiz
Women’s Strawweight - Nina Ansaroff -145 vs. Randa Markos
Lightweight – Devin Powell -130 vs. Álvaro Herrera
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