Last week was not a good one for ranked teams with five top 25 squads losing. No. 3 Georgia and No. 4 Miami both suffered setbacks that could harm their CFP standing. However, the expanded format leaves the door open for teams with multiple losses to still get in. At 7-2 the Bulldogs can’t afford another loss and will look to get back in win column hosting Tennessee in Week 12 as a 10-point favorite on the opening line at the Crypto Sportsbook. The 2024 college football regular season is quickly coming to a close with games featuring playoff contenders taking on more importance. One of four unbeaten teams remaining in the FBS, top-ranked Oregon plays at Wisconsin on Saturday night as a 14.5-point favorite on the early line. BYU escaped with a narrow win last week and puts its 9-0 record on the line against a dangerous Kansas club. Army and Indiana will remain undefeated as they both take the week off.
College Football Betting Lines
Week 12 College Football Parlay Card Wagers
Texas -13.5 at Arkansas
Louisville -20 at Stanford
Wake Forest / North Carolina OVER 63.5
Air Force +3.5 vs. Oregon State
I changed my strategy last week but still lost my college football parlay splitting the four games on my ticket. I hit point spread winners with Missouri beating Oklahoma outright 30-23 as a 3.5-point dog on the closing line. I also backed Navy at -3 in their 28-7 win over South Florida. The bad news is that Iowa failed to generate much offense with starting QB Cade McNamara still sidelined with a concussion. Kaleb Johnson, who was averaging more than 142 rushing yards per game, was held to 49 by UCLA’s defense. The Bruins won 20-17 keeping the game UNDER the total of 44.5. I also lost backing BYU -4 at Utah. The Cougars won 22-21 but failed to cover the line.
I’m running out of chances to get that elusive college football parlay win, but I liked the four-team ticket and will stick with it. Now it’s just about handicapping the right games. Texas had a minor hiccup a few weeks back losing at home to Georgia and edging Vandy as a 17-point favorite. The Horns produced their two lowest scoring games of the year in those outings, but they got back on track with a 49-17 win over Florida a week ago with Quinn Ewers throwing five TD passes. Arkansas hasn’t played much defense this season giving up 63 points and nearly 700 total yards in their Week 10 loss to Ole Miss. Laying 13.5 points seems like a gift.
I’m backing another big favorite in the ACC matchup between the Cardinals and Cardinal. The only concern I have with Louisville is their trip to California, but after beating BC and Clemson they had last week off, so it shouldn’t be that big of a deal. And Stanford is atrocious this year with only one win over an FBS squad while surrendering nearly 35 points a game. The Cardinals rank among the top 10 in yards per play and they average over 36 points putting more pressure on a Cardinal stop group that’s undersized and lacks depth.
It’s tempting to back the OVER in the Wake Forest-North Carolina game since each team has scored at least 34 points in each of the last three meetings. And once again defense isn’t a strong area for either side. The Tar Heels rank 82nd nationally in scoring defense and the Demon Deacons are worse at 115th. The last four encounters closed with a total higher than the 63.5 on the opening line and I’m counting on another shootout between teams that like to play fast.
I felt like I had to back an underdog and Air Force stood out. The Falcons did what they do best in their slide-stopping 36-28 win over Fresno State last week running for 344 yards without a turnover. The defense also showed up holding the Bulldogs to 284 total yards as AFA won outright as a 9.5-point dog. Oregon State lost its third in a row, 24-13, to San Jose State as a 3-point home favorite. The Beavs have gone five straight without a payout and are just 2-7 ATS this season.
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