Raquel Pennington is favored against Julianna Pena at UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. on Saturday, October 5 in Salt Lake City, Utah. This event is one of five fights on the main pay-per-view card. Pennington is 16-8 in her career, including 13-5 in the UFC, while Pena is 11-5 in her career, including 7-3 in the UFC. There are a total of 12 fights, with five on Pay-Per-View, four on ESPNews/ESPN+, and three on ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass at UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. Let’s look at the bout between Pennington and Pena and UFC predictions.
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. takes place at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah on Saturday, October 5 with 12 fights, with five on Pay-Per-View, four on ESPNews/ESPN+, and three on ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass.
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. Betting
Raquel Pennington (16-8, 13-5 UFC)
Pennington came into the UFC with a record of 3-3 and she has 13 wins and five losses in the UFC. In her last six fights, she has six wins and no losses. She defeated Marion Reneau by unanimous decision, Pannie Kianzad by unanimous decision, Macy Chiasson by guillotine choke submission, Aspen Ladd by unanimous decision, Ketlen Vieira by split decision, and Mayra Bueno Silva by unanimous decision. Pennington’s last loss in her career was against Holly Holm by unanimous decision in January of 2020. Pennington has been a pro since 2012 and she has one win by TKO/KO and four by submission. She has two first round finishes.
Julianna Pena (11-5, 7-3 UFC)
Pena came into the UFC with a record of 4-2 and she has seven wins and three losses in the UFC. She defeated Jessica Rakoczy by TKO, Milana Dudieva by TKO, Jessica Eye by unanimous decision, Cat Zingano by unanimous decision, Nicco Montaño by unanimous decision, Sara McMann by rear-naked choke submission, and Amanda Nunes by rear-naked choke submission; while losing to Valentina Shevchenko by armbar submission, Germaine de Randamie by technical submission, and Amanda Nunes by unanimous decision. Pena has been a pro since 2009 and she has three wins by TKO/KO and five by submission. She has four first round finishes.
Pena said this to mmajunkie.usatoday.com about her upcoming fight against Pennington, “Her strengths are her strength, and she is very physically strong, got a solid base and very technically sound. I think that she throws the 1s and 2s very sharp, so that would be her strengths. Her nice and crisp punches and her strength is a strength for her. … I want to look at the pyramid upside down, and there’s not just one way to win. I want to be working from a basic thing and sticking to the basics, allowing it to open up different ways that I can get the job done. So wherever the fight goes, I’m ready and I’m confident. I feel like I can win on the feet. I feel like I can win on the ground. I feel like I can win by submission. I feel like I can win by decision. I have not closed myself off to one specific way or one specific avenue. I want to leave my brain and my mind to winning in several different ways. Whatever presents itself, I’ll be able to capitalize on.”
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Pennington 4.14/ Pena 3.16
Striking Accuracy: Pennington 52% / Pena 47%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Pennington 3.29 / Pena 2.30
Defense: Pennington 60% / Pena 50%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Pennington 0.90/ Pena 1.94
Takedown Accuracy: Pennington 27% / Pena 55%
Takedowns defended: Pennington 63% / Pena 23%
Submission average: Pennington 0.7/ Pena 0.8
UFC Picks
Pennington is listed as a -170 favorite in this fight and the rounds are listed at 4.5 with the over a big favorite. This looks like an even fight and I don’t see much of an advantage either way. What I do know is that almost every single Pennington fight goes to a decision. Eight of her last ten fights have gone to a decision and I think this one goes the distance as well. Oddsmakers know the same thing I know and they have put the price at -260 on the over, but I still think taking the over on the rounds is the best bet in this fight.
| DATE | FIGHTERS | MONEY LINE |
| 10/05 | Khalil Rountree | +347 |
| Alex Pereira | -475 |
| 10/05 | Julianna Pena | +138 |
| Raquel Pennington | -170 |
| 10/05 | Joaquin Buckley | -205 |
| Stephen Thompson | +165 |
| 10/05 | Mario Bautista | -144 |
| Jose Aldo | +117 |
| 10/05 | Kevin Holland | -158 |
| Roman Dolidze | +129 |
| 10/05 | Kayla Harrison | -900 |
| Ketlen Vieira | +567 |
| 10/05 | Iasmin Lucindo | -170 |
| Marina Rodriguez | +138 |
| 10/05 | Ihor Potieria | +300 |
| Cesar Almeida | -400 |
| 10/05 | Tecia Pennington | -175 |
| Carla Esparza | +142 |
| 10/05 | Ovince St. Preux | +226 |
| Ryan Spann | -290 |
| 10/05 | Court McGee | +165 |
| Tim Means | -205 |
Access live betting lines from your mobile device at BookMaker Sportsbook! Real-time spreads, totals, props, and money lines are all available so start betting with BookMaker today.
Check out the latest odds at BookMaker
