Anthony Hernandez is favored against Michel Pereira at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira on Saturday, October 19 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of 11 fights on ESPN+. Hernandez is 12-2 in his career, including 6-2 in the UFC, while Pereira is 31-11 in his career, including 9-2 in the UFC. There are a total of 11 fights, all on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira. Let’s look at the bout between Hernandez and Pereira and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, October 19 with 11 fights, all on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira Betting
Anthony Hernandez (12-2, 6-2 UFC)
Hernandez came into the UFC with a record of 6-0 and he has six wins and two losses in the UFC. He defeated Park Jun-yong by anaconda choke submission, Rodolfo Vieira by guillotine choke submission, Josh Fremd by unanimous decision, Marc-André Barriault by technical submission, Edmen Shahbazyan by TKO, and Roman Kopylov by rear-naked choke submission; while losing to Markus Perez by anaconda choke submission and Kevin Holland by TKO. Hernandez has been a pro since 2014 and he has two wins by TKO/KO and eight by submission. He has five first round finishes.
Michel Pereira (31-11, 9-2 UFC)
Pereira came into the UFC with a record of 22-9 and he has nine wins and two losses in the UFC. He defeated Danny Roberts by KO, Zelim Imadaev by technical submission, Khaos Williams by unanimous decision, Niko Price by unanimous decision, André Fialho by unanimous decision, Santiago Ponzinibbio by split decision, Andre Petroski by TKO, Michal Oleksiejczuk by technical submission, and Ihor Potieria by guillotine choke submission; while losing to Tristan Connelly by unanimous decision and Diego Sanchez by disqualification. Pereira has been a pro since 2011 and he has 11 wins by TKO/KO and nine by submission. He has 15 first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Hernandez 4.30 /Pereira 5.16
Striking Accuracy: Hernandez 59% /Pereira 54%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Hernandez 3.46/Pereira 3.70
Defense: Hernandez 45% /Pereira 58%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Hernandez 6.62/Pereira 1.53
Takedown Accuracy: Hernandez 49%/Pereira 55%
Takedowns defended: Hernandez 63%/Pereira 94%
Submission average: Hernandez 3.0/Pereira 0.8
UFC Picks
UFC oddsmakers believe that we are in for a very competitive main event on Saturday, as Hernandez is listed as just a slight favorite in MMA odds. Pereira is an exciting fighter who has big time power. He comes into this fight having won his last eight bouts, although the level of competition hasn’t been that great except for the win against Santiago Ponzinibbio, at welterweight a couple of years ago. Pereira has proven he can finish fights with finishes in 20 of his 31 wins. The problem for Pereira has been when opponents find a way to get the fight into the latter stages, as Pereira oftentimes wears down.
Hernandez is on a nice roll of his own, winning his last five fights. He is strong on the mat and seems likely to try for an early takedown of Pereira in this fight. Hernandez is very deliberate in his approach so he will look for a mistake by Pereira and pounce.
The longer this fight goes the more Hernandez will have the advantage. The question is whether or not he can be patient enough and wait out Pereira. The early part of this fight will likely decide which way this fight goes. Pereira is going to be going all out early looking for a finish, while Hernandez will be looking to avoid making a big mistake. If the fight goes as expected then Pereira would win a fight that is decided early, while Hernandez would win a fight that goes the distance. I think you could have a couple of UFC betting parlays and take Pereira to win by finish in one parlay and take Hernandez to win by decision in the other. If either of those two things happen it will be a profitable outcome in UFC betting.
DATE | FIGHTERS | MONEY LINE |
10/19 | Michel Pereira | +107 |
Anthony Hernandez | -137 |
10/19 | Rob Font | +322 |
Kyler Phillips | -450 |
10/19 | Sumudaerji | +176 |
Charles Johnson | -225 |
10/19 | Darren Elkins | -105 |
Daniel Pineda | -125 |
10/19 | Matheus Nicolau | +154 |
Asu Almabayev | -195 |
10/19 | Brad Katona | +201 |
Jean Matsumoto | -260 |
10/19 | Tamires Vidal | +194 |
Joselyne Edwards | -250 |
10/19 | Jessica Penne | +139 |
Elise Reed | -175 |
10/19 | Alice Ardelean | +115 |
Melissa Martinez | -145 |
10/19 | Austen Lane | +316 |
Robelis Despaigne | -440 |
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