Nassourdine Imavov is favored against Brendan Allen at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis on Saturday, September 28 in Paris, France. This event is one of 14 fights on ESPN+. Imavov is 14-4 in his career, including 6-2 in the UFC, while Allen is 24-5 in his career, including 12-2 in the UFC. There are a total of 14 fights, all on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis. Let’s look at the bout between Imavov and Allen and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis takes place at Accor Arena in Paris, France on Saturday, September 28 with 14 fights, all on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis Betting
Nassourdine Imavov (14-4, 6-2 UFC)
Imavov came into the UFC with a record of 8-2 and he has six wins and two losses in the UFC. He defeated Jordan Williams by unanimous decision, Ian Heinisch by TKO, Edmen Shahbazyan by TKO, Joaquin Buckley by unanimous decision, Roman Dolidze by majority decision, and Jared Cannonier by TKO; while losing to Phil Hawes by majority decision and Sean Strickland by unanimous decision. Imavov has been a pro since 2016 and he has six wins by TKO/KO and four by submission. He has seven first round finishes.
Brendan Allen (24-5, 12-2 UFC)
Allen came into the UFC with a record of 12-3 and he has 12 wins and two losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has six wins and no losses. He defeated Jacob Malkoun by unanimous decision, Krzysztof Jotko by rear-naked choke submission, André Muniz by rear-naked choke submission, Bruno Silva by rear-naked choke submission, Paul Craig by rear-naked choke submission, and Paul Craig by split decision. Allen’s last loss in his career was against Chris Curtis by TKO in December of 2021. Allen has been a pro since 2015 and he has five wins by TKO/KO and 14 by submission. He has 11 first round finishes.
Allen said this to mmajunkie.usatoday.com about his upcoming fight against Imavov, “Some people just need all the deck in their favor to try and win, but it’s not going to be enough. I’m still going to win. I accepted the five rounds. I asked for the five rounds. I’ve heard the explanations, but I still don’t agree or understand it. It’s above my pay grade. I think it’s terrible and unfair that (Nos.) 10 and 12 guys are main event over (Nos.) 4 and 7, where we have title contentions that are possibly surrounding our fight. I think rude move that he doesn’t want to accept five rounds. Even as a co-main, he doesn’t want to accept five rounds. You want to fight for the belt? You want to stake your claim? Like, that’s how you do it. You go out there and win a five-round fight, even if it doesn’t go five rounds. You still took it; you were still ready for that, you get extra money for it. I don’t fully understand the reasoning, but I understand their logic. Some people just need all the cards in their favor as much as possible to win, but it’s not going to be enough.”
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Imavov 4.58 /Allen 3.98
Striking Accuracy: Imavov 55% /Allen 53%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Imavov 3.33/Allen 3.83
Defense: Imavov 59% /Allen 47%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Imavov 0.98/Allen 1.74
Takedown Accuracy: Imavov 36%/Allen 47%
Takedowns defended: Imavov 74%/Allen 58%
Submission average: Imavov 1.3/Allen 1.4
UFC Picks
Imavov is listed as a -240 favorite to win this fight. Is he really that much better than Allen? These two have similar resumes and Allen actually comes into this fight on a seven-fight winning streak. I am tempted to take Allen at the plus price, but I think the rounds are a better option. When Allen wins his fights, oftentimes it is by submission, but I just can’t see him getting a submission win against a talented fighter in Imavov who has only lost by a finish once, and that was in his first pro fight. I also don’t see Imavov getting a finish against Allen. I think the best choice is to play the rounds to go over the UFC betting total.
| DATE | FIGHTERS | MONEY LINE |
| 09/28 | Benoit Saint-Denis | -275 |
| Renato Moicano | +211 |
| 09/28 | Brendan Allen | +186 |
| Nassourdine Imavov | -240 |
| 09/28 | Joanderson Brito | -285 |
| William Gomis | +218 |
| 09/28 | Bryan Battle | -172 |
| Kevin Jousset | +137 |
| 09/28 | Matt Frevola | +105 |
| Fares Ziam | -135 |
| 09/28 | Ivan Erslan | -102 |
| Ion Cutelaba | -128 |
| 09/28 | Da Woon Jung | +322 |
| Oumar Sy | -450 |
| 09/28 | Ailin Perez | -245 |
| Daria Zhelezniakova | +190 |
| 09/28 | Victor Altamirano | -134 |
| Daniel Barez | +104 |
| 09/28 | Roosevelt Roberts | +545 |
| Ludovit Klein | -900 |
| 09/28 | Gabriel Miranda | +479 |
| Morgan Charriere | -750 |
| 09/28 | Jacqueline Cavalcanti | -235 |
| Nora Cornolle | +183 |
| 09/28 | Vince Morales | +280 |
| Taylor Lapilus | -380 |
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