UFC Fight Night Neil Magny vs. Carlos Prates

Carlos Prates is heavily favored against Neil Magny at UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates on Saturday, November 9 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of 13 fights on ESPN+. Magny is 29-12 in his career, including 22-11 in the UFC, while Prates is 20-6 in his career, including 3-0 in the UFC. There are a total of 13 fights, all on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates. Let’s look at the bout between Magny and Prates and UFC predictions.

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, November 9 with 13 fights, all on ESPN+.

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates Betting

Neil Magny (29-12, 22-11 UFC)

Magny came into the UFC with a record of 7-1 and he has 22 wins and 11 losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has three wins and three losses. He defeated Daniel Rodriguez by brabo choke submission, Philip Rowe by split decision, and Mike Malott by TKO; while losing to Gilbert Burns by arm-triangle choke submission, Ian Machado Garry by unanimous decision, and Michael Morales by TKO. Magny has been a pro since 2010 and he has eight wins by TKO/KO and four by submission. He has one first round finish.

Carlos Prates (20-6, 3-0 UFC)

Prates came into the UFC with a record of 17-6 and he has three wins and no losses in the UFC. He defeated Trevin Giles by KO, Charles Radtke by KO, and Jingliang Li by KO. Prates’ last loss in his career was against Gadjimurad Abdulaev by unanimous decision in June of 2019. Prates has been a pro since 2012 and he has 15 wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. He has eight first round finishes.

Prates said this to ufc.com about his upcoming fight against Magny, “He's a guy I respect a lot. He seems like a nice guy, but when we step inside the Octagon, its just business. I want to close out the year in fashion, collecting another bonus. It would be dope to debut in the UFC rankings. It will definitely be a different fight (from his previous ones). Training for it is a little different, because it's five rounds now, against a fighter who I'm pretty sure will try and grapple with me. I'm a jiu-jitsu black belt and I like doing jiu-jitsu, but in MMA I prefer striking because I think it's the fastest way to end a fight. He's a really tough guy, hard to knock out, but I see myself finishing him in the third or fourth round.”

Striking Stats

Strikes landed per minute: Magny 3.44 /Prates 4.71

Striking Accuracy: Magny 46% /Prates 57%

Strikes absorbed per minute: Magny 2.48/Prates 5.02

Defense: Magny 51% /Prates 48%

Grappling Stats

Takedown average: Magny 2.15/Prates 0.00

Takedown Accuracy: Magny 40%/Prates 0%

Takedowns defended: Magny 54%/Prates 80%

Submission average: Magny 0.2/Prates 0.0

UFC Picks

Prates is listed as more than a 7-1 favorite in UFC odds and that is about as high a price as we have seen in a while. I know Magny has dropped four of his last seven fights, but he is still a quality fighter. Prates has obviously done nothing wrong in the UFC, winning all three of his fights but his competition level wasn’t anything special. Prates will probably win this fight, as Magny has seen better days, but I am not laying 7-1 on any fighter.

The rounds are listed at 2.5 and the under is about a 2-1 favorite in UFC betting odds. Prates has knocked out all three of his UFC opponents and that definitely seems like the most likely outcome in this fight. Magny has done nothing of late to show that he is going to win this fight. I’ll go under the total with the rounds as the top play in this fight. If you want to bet Prates to win then I guess you could bet on him to win by knockout or TKO but the price is still a bit too high for me.

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates Card & Odds

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