It’s a two-horse race in the SEC yet again. Alabama and Georgia are the overwhelming favorites to win the conference, and the only other team that the oddsmakers are giving a chance to win the best conference in the country is Texas A&M. Every other program is at least 50-1 to win the SEC as the Crimson Tide and Bulldogs have been overpowering and are recruiting at a much higher level than everyone else but the Aggies. That means there is exceptional value in finding the right underdog to back in this conference.
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Odds to Win the SEC in 2022
Alabama -177
Georgia +155
Texas A&M +1600
Tennessee +5000
Kentucky +5500
Arkansas +6000
Florida +6000
Ole Miss +6600
LSU +7000
Auburn +15000
Mississippi State +15000
South Carolina +15000
Missouri +40000
Vanderbilt +100000
Alabama has won the SEC seven times in the last 10 years. The Crimson Tide have been the dominant program in both the conference and the country under Nick Saban, and they have shown no signs of slowing down even though Saban will turn 71 this season. Bryce Young is the defending Heisman Trophy winner, and Jahmyr Gibbs is expected to be one of the Heisman frontrunners after transferring in from Georgia Tech. This defense will be one of the best in the country once again too with stars like Will Anderson Jr., Henry To’o To’o, and Kool-Aid McKinstry.
Kirby Smart brought Georgia its first national championship in over four decades last year. The Bulldogs had one of the best defenses in the history of college football in 2021, and that unit will certainly take a step back after five starters from that defense were taken in the first round of the 2022 NFL Draft. This should still be a strong defense, but the offense will likely take a step back too as George Pickens, the top two running backs, and multiple starters along the offensive line were all drafted as well.
Texas A&M went just 4-4 in conference last season, but the Aggies did knock off the Crimson Tide even though they lost their starting quarterback early in the year. Jimbo Fisher just put together an elite recruiting class, and the quarterback whisperer has two potential signal callers in Haynes King and Max Johnson. This ground game figures to be strong, and Ainias Smith is a dangerous threat on offense. However, the loss of defensive coordinator Mike Elko will be tougher to overcome than some observers believe.
There is some hype surrounding Tennessee after Josh Heupel brought some excitement to Knoxville in his first season at the helm. The Volunteers scored a lot of points in Heupel’s quick strike offense, but they could only manage to go 7-6. Hendon Hooker proved to be an excellent quarterback for this offense, averaging 9.8 YPA with 31 touchdowns and three interceptions, and he was the second leading rusher on the team. Four of the five leading rushers from last year return as well as star receiver Cedric Tillman, so the Vols could be the second-best team in the SEC East if the defense takes a step forward.
Kentucky is the team with the next shortest odds at 55-1, but the Wildcats are probably going to take a moderate step back after going 10-3 in 2021. Will Levis is a solid, but not spectacular, quarterback and Chris Rodriguez Jr. ran for 1,379 yards (6.1 YPC) and nine touchdowns, but the offense is returning just four starters. Levis is losing standout receiver Wan’Dale Robinson, and the top returning receiver is Izayah Cummings who had 14 receptions for 195 yards and three touchdowns last season. The defensive line is turning over too, so Kentucky is likely to revert to an average team.
The longshot team to watch this season is Florida. Although the Gators and their fans have been somewhat apoplectic about their recruiting lately, they have a signal caller that has the potential to be a real difference maker in Anthony Richardson. Most of the offensive line returns, and Billy Napier is a solid head coach that can get the most out of this team. Eight starters return on defense, and they are young and talented on this side of the ball.
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