2024 North Carolina Tar Heels Season Win Total Odds and Pick

The second tenure of Mack Brown with the North Carolina Tar Heels has been as consistent as his first, with the team achieving winning seasons in four of five tries. Though it hasn’t translated into much success in the bowl season, UNC’s football program is established enough to buy into a sixth straight bowl appearance. However, the upcoming College Football betting season presents a new challenge as the team will be without a Heisman-caliber quarterback for the first time since the current coaching staff took over the reins. While Max Johnson, who has experience at LSU and Texas A&M, takes over, he is no Drake Maye. Bookmakers do not expect UNC to compete for bragging rights with top dogs like Florida State, Clemson, or Miami based on the current ACC futures odds. The Tar Heels' win total is set at 7.5, down from last year's 8, after pushing against the closing number. Under Brown's current regime, UNC is 2-2-1 against their win total. Despite losing key players, the team has a manageable schedule and returns seven defensive starters, supplemented by transfer portal additions, along with one of the conference's top running backs. As they enter the sixth year of Brown's second stint, the program appears stable and grounded. Will that be enough to exceed linemaker’s expectations?

College Football Season Wins Odds

North Carolina Tar Heels 2024-25 Regular Season Win Total Odds

North Carolina Over 7.5 Wins -119

North Carolina Under 7.5 Wins -101

A Case for the Over: The offensive effectiveness in Chapel Hill has adopted a "set it and forget it" mentality with former Troy coach, Chip Lindsey, calling the shots. Granted, the attack has had high-caliber quarterbacks leading the charge, but let’s give respect to Max Johnson, who has shown an ability to throw touchdowns (47) and, more importantly, limit errant passes with only 12 interceptions in 30 overall games. UNC ranked No. 8 in total offense last season, averaging north of 490 yards per game, and boasted top-20 passing and rushing offenses, resulting in nearly 35 points per game (No. 19) denting the board. While the offensive line will rely heavily on newcomers via the transfer portal, their job will be made easier by RB Omarion Hampton, who rumbled for over 1,500 yards and 15 TDs on 253 carries in his sophomore campaign. Rounding out the attack will be last year's leading receiver, J.J. Jones, and a dynamic tight end duo of Bryson Nesbit and John Copenhaver. The tools are there for Johnson to utilize and keep this offense—the ACC’s second-highest scoring—from skipping a beat.

A Case for the Under: As sound the offense has been under the coaching staff for the last handful of years, the same can’t be said for the defense, which has struggled mightily. Last season, the unit surrendered over 400 yards per game (No. 96), with more than 160 of those yards coming on the ground (No. 89). To make matters worse, the defense couldn’t pressure the quarterback (No. 83), resulting in opposing aerial attacks averaging over 240 yards per game (No. 94). On the bright side, seven starters return this season, aiming to make amends, with most of the talent concentrated in the front seven. There’s size and experience up front, tackling machines in the middle, and some potential standouts in the secondary who could make significant strides. While the offense is built to step up in shootouts, the defense needs to start holding up its end of the bargain for the Tar Heels to once again be a factor in the ACC title race, as they were in the 2022-23 season, primarily due to their offensive prowess.

2024-25 North Carolina Tar Heels Schedule

I don’t know what Mack Brown has on the folks who drafted the ACC schedule, but it’s got to be something damning! That’s the only way to explain the absence of Clemson, Miami, Louisville, Virginia Tech, and SMU—all teams listed among the current favorites to win the ACC Championship this season. Sure, the Tar Heels will need to travel to Doak Campbell Stadium to face the odds-on favorite Florida State Seminoles, but they also benefit from matchups against Duke, PITT, Georgia Tech, Virginia, Wake Forest, and Boston College. Plus, they get NC State at home in the finale! If North Carolina can upset the Golden Gophers in the season opener at Minnesota as 2.5-point underdogs per the current college football lines, they’re likely to open conference play undefeated at 4-0. Even if we call it 3-1, I think there are at least five more wins in the remaining eight games, which would allow the Tar Heels to cash in on the over and potentially be in the running for a spot in the ACC title game. Eight wins might just be the low water mark for this squad, so I’ll take a flyer on the over and have my popcorn ready for when the Tar Heels and Wolfpack collide, possibly with a bid to the conference championship on the line!

College Football Win Total Prediction: North Carolina Tar Heels Over 7.5 Wins

BookMaker offers play-by-play betting odds for live sporting events every day! The user-friendly wagering interface on your smartphone provides an easy way to place bets on the go. Mobile betting lines are updated by the minute, so click here to start gambling on thrilling live action at BookMaker Sportsbook!

Check out the latest odds at BookMaker