Not since the genesis of the College Football Playoff have the Oregon Ducks made an appearance. With the field now expanded to 12, the Quack Attack are lined as near shoe-ins to qualify -425 this College Football betting season with it the owner of a 10.5-game win total at the online sportsbook and owners of the third shortest futures odds to win the national championship +685. With the incline the program has ridden through two seasons of the Dan Lanning regime, are we to doubt what the program will bring to the table in 2024-25? Though only 10 starters return from last year’s 12-2 squad that thumped Liberty in the Fiesta Bowl to cap off a third straight season in which ten wins were accrued, the Ducks figure to be neck-and-neck with Ohio State to take home B1G bragging rights in its initial campaign as a member of the conference. It hosts the Buckeyes in October on extended rest! Expectations are through the roof in Eugene heading into the year, and for good reason. Still bitter about the Pac-12 title game loss to Washington, I expect Oregon to take the field with a chip on its shoulder making its first trek through the Big Ten one the folks in Eugene won’t soon forget.
College Football Season Wins Odds
Oregon Ducks 2024-25 Regular Season Win Total Odds
Oregon Over 10.5 Wins -116
Oregon Under 10.5 Wins -104
A Case for the Over: Bo Nix was outstanding in leading a powerful Oregon Ducks offense last season. The unit shredded defenses for a nation-best 531.4 yards per game and dented scoreboards for an average of 44.2 points per game (No. 2). Oregon boasted the top-ranked passing attack in the country, complemented by a ground game that averaged 185 yards per game (No. 32). Although Nix is now in the NFL leading the Denver Broncos’ attack, the Ducks’ offense remains in excellent hands with Dillon Gabriel, who transferred from Oklahoma to Eugene. Entering his sixth year of eligibility, Gabriel has the chance to become the all-time collegiate passing leader this season. He’ll have plenty of support with a talented and experienced offensive line, a formidable backfield duo in Jordan James and Noah Whittingham, and a strong receiving corps led by WR Tez Johnson and TE Terrance Ferguson. This offense is confident and capable of taking on new challenges, ready to overwhelm opponents who are unaware of what they truly bring to the table. While November trips to Ann Arbor and Camp Randall will be tough, this unit is built to overcome those hurdles and keep rolling.
A Case for the Under: Of the team’s ten returning starters, only four are situated on the defensive side of the ball, where some early-season regression is expected. The defensive line is being rebuilt through the transfer portal, relying heavily on transfers from Michigan State and Houston. A significant leap is anticipated from Matayo Uiagaleilei, who, along with Jeffrey Bassa and Jestin Jacobs, is expected to solidify the middle of the defense. The secondary returns safety Tysheem Johnson, but the rest of the unit is a mix of holdovers and portal acquisitions in the forms of Jabbar Muhammad, Kam Alexander, and Brandon Johnson. While this defense has the potential to come together, the early schedule is unforgiving, with Boise State and road games against Oregon State and UCLA on the docket in the first month. If the Ducks stumble early, it could be extremely challenging to surpass their optimistic win total odds projection, especially with a number of land mines lurking in the distance.
2024-25 Oregon Ducks Schedule
DATE | OPPONENT |
Aug 31 | vs. Idaho |
Sep 7 | vs. Boise State |
Sep 14 | at Oregon State |
Sep 21 | OFF |
Sep 28 | at UCLA |
Oct 4 | vs. Michigan State |
Oct 12 | vs. Ohio State |
Oct 18 | at Purdue |
Oct 26 | vs. Illinois |
Nov 2 | at Michigan |
Nov 9 | vs. Maryland |
Nov 16 | at Wisconsin |
Nov 23 | OFF |
Nov 30 | vs. Washington |
Taking a look at the odds for Oregon's "Game of the Year" matchups at the online sportsbook, CFB bettors will notice Oregon is installed the betting favorite to win each matchup. They're laying 21 points to the Beavers in the "Civil War" rivalry and are currently 2.5-point home favorites for when Ohio State travels to Autzen Stadium. They're also 3.5-point favorites for their first visit to the "Big House" since 2007, 10.5-point road favorites at Wisconsin, and massive 20-point home favorites against Washington—a game the Ducks will undoubtedly have circled after losing twice to the Huskies last season. Of the five teams with 10.5-win totals, I've recommended hitting the over for three, including the Ohio State Buckeyes. Even with their showdown on October 12, I still like Oregon to surpass this lofty total, matching their biggest conference threat and securing a spot in the CFP. The Ducks under Lanning seem vastly superior to the Cristobal and Helfrich-led squads. There's something about the way this program has evolved under his leadership that suggests bigger and better things are on the horizon, and this season might just be the breakthrough.
College Football Win Total Prediction: Oregon Ducks Over 10.5 Wins
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