The Virginia Tech Hokies have endured an incremental climb since Brent Pry took over the reins a few short seasons ago. After managing just three wins in his inaugural campaign, the program made significant strides in year two, posting six wins and earning a spot in the Military Bowl, where they dominated Tulane 41-20 as 13-point favorites per the closing College Football betting lines. This marked the Hokies' first winning season since 2019, back when Justin Fuente was still at the helm right before things took a dramatic turn for the worst. With expectations now heightened, oddsmakers have set an 8.5-game win total for the Hokies, who have the talent, depth, and experience to make a legitimate run at the ACC title. If everything falls into place, they could even secure an invite to the expanded College Football Playoff. While it’s a tough sell, the schedule is relatively favorable, lacking major landmines, which could pave the way for success if Virginia Tech can perform in their two toughest matchups on paper. Could the Hokies be this year's surprise team in the ACC, similar to Louisville last season? Let's break down what they bring to the table to make a more informed decision on how to bet into their win total odds.
College Football Season Wins Odds
Virginia Tech Hokies 2024-25 Regular Season Win Total Odds
Virginia Tech Over 8.5 Wins +121
Virginia Tech Under 8.5 Wins -149
A Case for the Over: Virginia Tech offense wasn’t dominant, but it certainly held up its end of the bargain, largely thanks to a punishing ground game led by the dynamic duo of QB Kyron Drones and RB Bhayshul Tuten. The pair combined for 1,681 yards and 15 touchdowns in the regular season, then exploded for another 312 yards and three scores in the Military Bowl against Tulane. Both return this season, running behind an offensive line that brings back four of five starters from a unit that averaged nearly 190 rushing yards per game (No. 23) and 5.0 yards per carry (No. 17). The receiving corps also returns intact, aiming to improve on last year’s modest average of just over 200 passing yards per game (No. 97). While Drones only threw 17 touchdown passes, he took excellent care of the football, evidenced by only three interceptions thrown. Virginia Tech’s ability to dominate on the ground and limit turnovers made them one of the best in the nation at maintaining possession of the pigskin (No. 38). If these strengths continue to develop, the Hokies could make significant strides offensively, giving their defense more opportunities to protect leads. That’s a winning formula in my book!
A Case for the Under: The Hokies excelled at generating pressure and defending the pass last season, ranking No. 6 nationally, which contributed to their status as the ACC’s second-ranked overall defense. However, they struggled to force turnovers, averaging just 1.2 per game (No. 93), and gave up significant yardage on the ground (No. 57). Antwaun Powell-Ryland returns after a strong season with 9.5 sacks and 14.5 tackles for loss, but the interior of the defensive line will depend on two transfer portal additions to bolster a run defense that allowed 4.3 yards per carry (No. 68). Opponents ran the ball nearly 55% of the time against them (No. 110), exploiting this weakness. If the Hokies don’t improve against the run and continue to allow teams to move the chains on the ground or punch the pigskin into the end zone, their defensive strengths could be neutralized. Given how crucial it was for them to limit rushing damage last season, it's vital that they make significant strides in this area to have any chance of surpassing their highest win total in years.
2024-25 Virginia Tech Hokies Schedule
DATE |
OPPONENT |
Aug 31 |
at Vanderbilt |
Sep 7 |
vs. Marshall |
Sep 14 |
at Old Dominion |
Sep 21 |
vs. Rutgers |
Sep 27 |
at Miami-FL |
Oct 5 |
at Stanford |
Oct 12 |
OFF |
Oct 17 |
vs. Boston College |
Oct 26 |
vs. Georgia Tech |
Nov 2 |
at Syracuse |
Nov 9 |
vs. Clemson |
Nov 16 |
OFF |
Nov 23 |
at Duke |
Nov 30 |
vs. Virginia |
As long as injuries don’t derail the ability to make hay on a weekly basis, the Hokies are poised to make some noise in the ACC this CFB betting season. Their two toughest matchups occur on the road at Miami and at home against Clemson. Notably, they avoid facing Florida State, Louisville, and both North Carolina schools—three of which are littered amongst the favorites to win the ACC title alongside the Hurricanes and Tigers. Virginia Tech’s odds to win the league title have nearly been halved +975after opening at 18-1, reflecting growing optimism in Blacksburg. I’m buying into a Hokies resurgence. I’m not sold on Miami or Clemson, and believe the ACC is open enough for a team outside of the usual suspects to claim the title. While it won’t be reminiscent of the “Beamer Ball” era, it could be just enough to allow Virginia Tech to become one of the surprise teams to qualify for the College Football Playoff. I’m hitting the over of the team’s win total odds at a nice plus-money return—cue up some ‘Enter Sandman!’
College Football Win Total Prediction: Virginia Tech Hokies Over 8.5 Wins
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