There was a time not long ago when Florida State vs. Clemson was appointment viewing. Almost every year these teams would decide the Atlantic Coast Conference championship. However, in recent years this series has been the College football betting property of the Tigers. Florida State is in the initial stages of coach Mike Norvell’s rebuild. FSU lost its winning culture and Norvell will need time to get minds right as well as to recruit a roster that can actually compete with Clemson. All of which means the Tigers will be massive chalk on Saturday.
Clemson Tigers at Florida State Seminoles
When: Saturday, November 21, 2020, 12 p.m. ET
Where: Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, Florida
TV: ABC
College Football Odds at BookMaker.eu
Clemson Tigers -33.5
Florida State Seminoles +33.5
Total 65.5
Clemson Tigers at Florida State Seminoles Bookmaker Wagering Analysis
For this matchup squares will avoid Florida State at all costs. But Clemson is likely to be an overlay. Oddsmakers realize that they must jack up the Tigers price to level out the handle. They also know that sharps are hesitant to step into a freight train.
Clemson Back After Bye and Loss at Notre Dame
Clemson has a record of 7-1 straight up, 2-6 against the spread with five overs. The Tigers last game was a 40-47 loss at Notre Dame. Clemson ranks eighth for scoring offense and 18th for points allowed.
Florida State and Norvell in Culture War
Last week Florida State lost at North Carolina State 38-22 as 11.5-point dogs with over the total of 61 cashing in too. FSU is 2-6 straight up and against the spread with five overs. Overall, the Seminoles rank 103rd for scoring offense while on defense they are an abysmal 100th for points allowed.
Seminoles coach Mike Norvell faces a daunting challenge. Few Florida State players were recruited by him and many of them have been resistant to his desired changes. FSU’s locker room quickly turned toxic with several good players walking out with more to come.
Clemson Tigers at Florida State Seminoles Against the Spread
Clemson has covered 22 of their last 38 games. As chalk the Tigers are 21-15 against the spread. On the road Clemson is 9-4 vs. the odds. And in ACC games the Tigers are 17-8 with the line. With totals the Tigers are 19-19 over and under. On the road Clemson is 7-6 to the over. While in ACC games they are 13-12 over the total. As chalk Clemson is 17-19 to the under.
Florida State has been one of the worst values on the board in college football with a mark of 10-21-1 against the spread. At home the Noles are 7-11 vs. the line. As dogs FSU has covered just five of their last 16. And in ACC games Florida State is 9-12-1 vs. the odds.
Florida State has gone over the total in 19 of their last 31 outings. As a dog the Seminoles are 12-4 over the total. While at home FSU is 9-9 over and under. In ACC games Florida State is 10-12 under the number.
Late results in this series show Clemson domination. Florida State has covered just four of their last 15 games to the Tigers. Six of the last nine between these teams have gone over the total. So too has Clemson covered four of their last five games at the Seminoles. Three of the last four between these teams at FSU went over the total.
Clemson Tigers at Florida State Seminoles Bookmaker Free Pick
In this situation the Seminoles are going to get a stark reality check. Mike Norvell is cleansing the roster of those who won’t cooperate. By contrast the Clemson culture is an asset. Dabo Swinney’s program has the best atmosphere in college football.
Tigers at Seminoles Bookmaker Best Bet: Clemson Tigers
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