College football is a supremely unique sport to bet on. In a College Football season, one loss can ruin a team’s season. There is not the margin for error that pro sports teams enjoy. Or college basketball programs, for that matter.
For some schools, there is honor in simply making a bowl game or winning one of the lower-tier bowls. For others, the only acceptable goal is making the College Football Playoff. Therefore, there is more of an emphasis on playing well every week. The sport's uniqueness presents many opportunities for bettors to take advantage of when placing their wagers. College football also brings an emotional element that no other sport can match.
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Early Season Can Be Land of Opportunity
Oddsmakers how the public thinks and set lines that take advantage of those thoughts. However, it is more challenging for oddsmakers to assess college football early in the season when there is not a big sample size of games. When analyzing an early-season matchup, pay attention to which team has more returning starters. Having more experience on either side of the ball can be a tremendous advantage early on. On the other hand, don’t pay too much for name brand teams that squares will fall back on.
Assess the Motivational Advantages or Liabilities
As previously mentioned, college football is much more emotional each week than the average sport. Most schools with a national championship goal cannot afford one or two losses. Each year, highly rated teams that enter the season inevitably suffer crushing losses. If their goal was a national championship, they will likely not play as motivated down the stretch once they realize a playoff bid is unattainable.
Always remember that 18-to-22-year-olds play College football. Their emotions waver a lot more than a professional’s. Thus, bettors should look to take advantage of matchups where some teams still have all their goals in front of them while others have already seen their hopes vanish. Other emotional factors include regional rivalries and revenge setups.
Who is Peaking Ahead
College football is full of “look-ahead spots” each week. Suppose Ohio State has its arch-rival Michigan coming to town the following week. Would you expect the Buckeyes to give all their attention to a lesser opponent the week before their big showdown?
One of the great aspects of college football is intense rivalries. Army-Navy, Notre Dame-USC, Auburn-Alabama, and Oklahoma-Texas are some of the best. This upcoming season, pay close attention to when these rivalry games are played and look into fading these schools the week before their fiercest rivalry games.
Is it Letdown Time for a Team?
The theory behind letdown spots is also identical to why look-ahead games are a serious betting factor that can offer hidden value. Whenever LSU and Alabama play, it is often one of the most physical games you will see in the entire college football season. In addition, the game often decides the winner of the SEC West Division champion. That means a berth in the SEC Championship Game and a shot at the College Football Playoff.
For each of these teams, the following week’s game is usually against a weaker opponent and provides a key letdown spot for bettors to take advantage of. Keep in mind to pay attention to the schedule. Letdown theories don’t always apply to all rivalries, as Army-Navy and Michigan-Ohio State are typically played the last week of the season.
However, a letdown spot does not always have to come the week after playing a big rival. Suppose an unranked team pulled a big upset over a top-10 team. They are likely to face a week of distractions on campus, as everyone they interact with will constantly remind them of how great they are. That certainly makes preparing for next week’s game more difficult.
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