Bettors had a tough time at the window last week and as a result the money isn’t flowing as freely for the college football Week 10 games. We have yet to see any significant line moves in either direction, though a few have been around the field goal mark. Most of the moves we’ve seen so far have been the usual ½ to 1 point fluctuations. That will likely change as we get closer to Saturday and the itch starts to take over.
A couple of monster games in the SEC take place this week with division title implications at stake. No. 1 ranked Alabama puts its perfect record on the line in Death Valley against the Tigers of LSU with a chance to lock down the West. The Tide opened as a 14-point favorite and the line has bounced around since hitting the board. It dropped to -13.5 before an influx of Bama money pushed the line up to -14.5. There was a perplexing move on the line for the de facto SEC East title game. Georgia opened as 10-point road chalk and the line has been wagered down to -8. Let’s take a look at some of the biggest movers in early Week 10 betting action at BookMaker.eu.
Week 10 Major Line Moves
Nebraska at Ohio State
Opening Line: Ohio State -21
Current Line: Ohio State -18
We’ve seen one of the biggest early line changes in this game, and the shift is favoring the visiting Cornhuskers. Apparently, the Buckeyes lost some of their shine after getting lambasted by Purdue their last time out. The world isn’t coming to an end, but you might start to believe otherwise if spending time in Columbus during OSU’s bye week. After cruising through their first seven games behind the stellar play of Dwayne Haskins, the Buckeyes struggled to do anything against an inspired Boilermakers group. That doesn’t suddenly make the Buckeyes a bad team; it just means they had a bad night. There was a clear overreaction to the Buckeyes’ loss and they can set everything straight against a Nebraska team that ranks 101st in points allowed and 103rd in yards surrendered.
Oklahoma at Texas Tech
Opening Line: Oklahoma -10.5
Current Line: Oklahoma -13.5
We saw another 3-point swing on the line for this Big 12 matchup. The Sooners were in a position a few weeks ago that the Buckeyes are in now. A loss to Texas had many questioning the worth of OU in the conference and in the CFP landscape. It didn’t bother the Sooners, who responded with a pair of 50-point games and wins over TCU and Kansas State by a combined 103-41. There’s always the threat of a letdown for the Sooners with Bedlam next week, but a date in the Big 12 Championship and possible rematch with Texas is the carrot on the end of the stick. We won’t have the Patrick Mahomes vs. Baker Mayfield matchup we saw in Lubbock two years ago, but Kyler Murray and Alan Bowman can provide plenty of fireworks. Early money backed the Sooners, forcing the 3-point spike.
UCLA at Oregon
Opening Line: Oregon -13
Current Line: Oregon -10.5
Despite back-to-back ugly losses to Washington State and Arizona, the Ducks opened as a 13-point favorite for this Pac-12 tilt with UCLA. There is the whole storyline of Chip Kelly’s return to Eugene and how that will play out, but the Ducks could give a flying penguin about that. Their focus is getting back to playing football. And early in the week there was a chance they would be doing that without Justin Herbert, who entered the concussion protocol after the Arizona game. When news of that broke, all hell broke loose on the line. We saw the spread drop 5.5-points to Oregon -7.5 as late as Halloween morning, only to rebound when it was learned the Ducks quarterback had returned to practice. With over 70 percent of the public backing the Ducks, the line crept back to Oregon -10.5. We don’t know if Herbert is for sure going to play, so if you plan on wagering this game, pay close attention to that development.
Notre Dame at Northwestern
Opening Line: Notre Dame -7
Current Line: Notre Dame -9
The Notre Dame hype train continues to pick up steam with the Irish among the top-4 in the first CFP rankings. That’s all good now, but it means absolutely nothing, and one loss will be devastating to the Irish’s chances. There are a lot of Catholics in this country and the ones that enjoy wagering on football will back the Irish. It’s paid off with the Irish covering last week’s 22.5-point line against Navy to improve to 4-1 ATS in their last five. The Wildcats are playing good football right now and they are coming off an impressive win over Wisconsin to take control of the Big Ten West with a chance at their first conference title game. They caught Bucky without its starting quarterback and barely squeaked by Rutgers and Nebraska in the previous two outings, so the 2-point jump is probably justified.
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