We’re off and running with the 2022 college football season entering its second week. And if our under the radar picks from last week are any indication it’s going to be a good year. Things will get more difficult from here on out now that we have an idea of what some of the clubs look like. Alabama looks like a national championship team and the Georgia Bulldogs are eager to repeat. Once again the SEC is loaded at the top.
The much-anticipated debut of Lincoln Riley at USC was a success with the Trojans pounding Rice 66-10. The offense looked in fine shape, but it was SC’s defense that turned heads returning three interceptions for scores. We can say the Trojans are back if they can beat Stanford on the Farm, something they’ve done just once in the previous five visits. USC opened as an 8-point favorite in that contest.
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Big time programs and Power Five conferences get most of the attention from oddsmakers and the betting public. It only makes sense since they dominate the headlines around the country and we can always see them play or at least catch highlights on our favorite sports wrap up show. That’s not always the case with other schools unless they’re playing a ranked foe. And like we saw last week that usually doesn’t end well for the underdogs.
Oddsmakers have a hard time handicapping every game with their main focus on the matchups that get the most attention. And there are always unknowns at the start of the season making the job more difficult. During every week of the season we have games that come in under the radar or lines for bigger matchups that seem a bit out of whack. Let’s take a look at a few to see where we can fatten the bankroll.
Colorado Buffaloes at Air Force Falcons ( -17.5 )
We don’t often see a Power Five program catching 17.5 points in a matchup against a G5 school. There has to be a whopping disparity between the clubs in order for that to happen and I just don’t see that being the case in this matchup. Not much is expected from Colorado with several players leaving through the transfer portal after a 4-8 campaign in 2021. And things took an even dire turn in last week’s 38-13 loss to TCU. There were a number of positive signs, though, that have me leaning toward a Buffs cover. Brendon Lewis is improved and J.T. Shrout is returning from injury forming a solid QB combo and the Buffs moved the football only to have three drives stall inside the TCU 25 with two field goals the end result. Air Force was impressive in its 48-17 win over FCS Northern Iowa, but the Buffs are a meaner group up front.
USC Trojans ( -8 ) at Stanford Cardinal
It’s a good thing Lincoln Riley, Caleb Williams and the rest of the newcomers have no recollection of USC’s recent experiences against Stanford. That’s what is going to separate the Trojans in this matchup. And those players that were around will certainly remember last year’s debacle when the Cardinal scored a 42-28 road upset as a 17.5-point dog, their second win in the last three meetings. The Trojans not only upgraded their offense with Williams and Jordan Addison, the defense has a new look after floundering under the previous regime. Coordinator Alex Grinch has designed masterful schemes in previous stops and his group added to the team’s highest point total in over decade with three pick-sixes in the rout of Rice. Stanford has been on a steady decline over the past few seasons giving the Trojans a glorious opportunity to exact revenge on previous results.
Boise State Broncos ( -16.5 ) at New Mexico Lobos
A look at scores from Week 1 might lead you to believe the Lobos are a threat to Boise’s dominance on the football field. In all likelihood those results just shifted the odds slightly in favor of the Broncos. Boise had some uncharacteristic sloppy play in a loss to Oregon State turning the ball over five times. Meanwhile, New Mexico got halfway to last season’s win total with an easy 41-0 win over FCS Maine. Don’t let those results fool you, though, because when these teams square off it’s Boise’s ball game. The Broncos won the previous five meetings by an average of nearly 30 points and I expect them to be a little pissed off after what happened last week. We will see Hank Bachmeier play better after he was benched. Though they pitched a shutout last week, the Lobos will have a tough time slowing down Boise’s balanced attack.
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