I say it every week because it’s true: winning a parlay is hard to do. If you bet the opposite of my college football picks last week at a crypto sportsbook you’d be rolling in virtual dough right now. That’s because my three picks all came up with a big L. Yep, a sloppy ohfer on my picks, which isn’t the worst thing since it only takes one loss to spoil a multi-wager parlay. The good news is that Week 5 of the college football season has a full slate and a winning ticket with a handsome payout gets us in the black for the season.
The disaster struck early when Clemson gifted Florida State a victory. Backing the Tigers at +112 on the moneyline, we saw them fumble away the lead, miss a potential game-winning field goal and fall in overtime. The rest of the day was misery as well. Auburn at +8 failed to stay within the spread in a 27-10 setback to Texas AM and the Hawai’i/New Mexico State contest came nowhere near the total of 58. If you’re gonna lose you might as well lose big, and that’s what happened.
College Football Betting Lines
Week 5 College Football Parlay Card Wagers
UL Lafayette +11
Fresno State -25
Kansas / Texas UNDER 62.5
$100 bet to win $620
I have to admit I’m not that high on the Minnesota Golden Gophers after watching them lose to Northwestern last week. Even more disturbing was how they lost. Leading 31-10 entering the fourth quarter, the Gophers surrendered three touchdowns and fell in overtime, 37-34. And the matchup with the Ragin’ Cajuns is a trap game for Minnesota with a home contest against Michigan the following week. It wasn’t just the Northwestern game that has me fading the Gophers but a combination of things over the first month. They’ve been sloppy and inconsistent on offense and they surrendered 68 points in the last two games. The Gophers are 0-4 ATS this season and have gone five straight without a payout dating back to last season.
For several seasons under Billy Napier the Ragin’ Cajuns were one of the top G5 programs in the country. A few years ago they did something no NFL team has done and that’s beat Brock Purdy posting a 31-14 win at Iowa State. Led by dual-threat Zeon Chriss, Lousiana boasts one of the top offenses in the country averaging 480 yards and 7.1 yards per play. Against arguably some tougher competition, the Gophers allow over 364 yards per game. Meanwhile, Minnesota’s offense scores just 21.2 points. I’ll back the visitors and the points in this one.
Up there among the best G5 programs in the country, the only way Fresno State doesn’t win its game against Nevada is if Jeff Tedford sits all his starters. With impressive road wins over Power Five teams Purdue and Arizona State, the Bulldogs extended their overall winning streak to 13 with a 53-10 rout of Kent state last week. FSU covered the 27.5 point line and is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games. Nevada is going the other direction having lost 14 games in a row. They were closer in their last two after getting blown out by USC and FCS Idaho by a combined 99-20 to open the season.
What has set Texas apart from previous seasons is the play of its defense and the group will be tested by Kansas. Both teams have scored more than 30 points in every game this season and average at least 35 points, so offense is something that most would expect to see. But the Longhorns have been one of the top defensive squads allowing just 16 points in their last two games and an average of 12.5 for the year. In last year’s meeting the Horns allowed just 14 points and they won’t take the Jayhawks lightly. Over the last three meetings the teams combined to average 93 points making the total of 62.5 look small. But the Texas defense is playing at another level and the Kansas unit hasn’t allowed more than 27 points in any game.
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