The Florida Gators appear to be at their best level since Urban Meyer was coach. Current third year coach Dan Mullen was Meyer’s offensive coordinator back in those days of glory. Since his return improvement has been rapid. Texas A&M’s College football betting upset of Florida on Saturday was a notable exception. By contrast the LSU Tigers are a collapsing power. New defensive coordinator Bo Pelini has been getting schooled by more creative offensive minds. While LSU was never going to duplicate their perfect 2019 season nobody saw this coming!
LSU Tigers at Florida Gators
When: Saturday, October 17, 2020, 3:30 p.m. ET
Where: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, Florida
TV: ESPN
Bookmaker Odds: LSU Tigers +14 at Florida Gators -14, over under 69.5
LSU Tigers at Florida Gators Bookmaker Wagering Analysis
This Saturday LSU lacks public appeal due to their inept defense. Meanwhile Florida has gambling cache at the Swamp.
LSU Defense Says No Bo!
LSU lost 45-41 Saturday at Missouri as 14-point road chalks as the game went over the total of 52. The Bayou Bengals are 1-2 straight up and against the spread with two overs. Offensively LSU ranks 17th overall and for scoring. Of major concern is a defense that ranks 71st overall and 52nd for points allowed. Mizzou’s win was shockingly dominant as they outgained LSU 586-479. So too did Missouri overcome three turnovers.
New defensive coordinator Bo Pelini is getting all the blame. LSU coach Ed Orgeron personally recruited Pelini after Dave Aranda departed to become head coach at Baylor. Pelini is remembered as defensive coordinator for LSU’s 2007 national championship team. But times have dramatically changed since then. Orgeron himself said the loss at Mizzou was all on the defense.
Gators Ambushed at Aggies
Florida was ambushed at Texas A&M 41-38 as 6-point road chalks with over the total of 59.5 paying too. Now Florida is 2-1 straight up, 1-2 against the spread and 3-0 over the total. UF’s offense ranks 18th overall and eight for scoring. Defensively the Gators rank 72nd overall and 58th for points allowed.
Florida’s defense was torched for 543 yards by the Aggies. Texas A&M converted 12 out of 15 third down conversions and held a 32-22 first down advantage. Florida quarterback Kyle Trask threw for 312 yards and four touchdowns. Trask has a 196.0 rating with 14 touchdown passes and one interception this season.
LSU Tigers at Florida Gators Against the Spread
Florida has gotten the money in 17 of their last 26 games. At the Swamp the Gators have covered nine of their last 14 games. While in SEC action Florida has paid in 11 of their last 18 games. Florida has gone under the total in seven of their last 18 SEC games.
LSU is 10-4 against the spread vs. ranked teams. The Bayou Bengals have covered seven of their last 10 road matchups. LSU is 18-12 against the NCAAF spread in their last 30 contests. On the road LSU is over the total in six of their last 10. In SEC action the Tigers are 10-9 over the total.
LSU has come up empty on the board in their last four meetings with the Gators. The last two meetings in this series went over the total. And at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium the Gators have covered five of their last seven vs. LSU. Four of the last six games in this series at Florida went over.
LSU Tigers at Florida Gators Bookmaker Free Pick
As was previously noted Florida has the head to head betting on NCAAF advantage over LSU. Additionally, the Tigers defense makes them impossible to recommend.
Tigers at Gators Bookmaker Best Bet: Florida Gators
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