When Mississippi State routed LSU in a stunning week one road win coach Mike Leach was celebrated for being different. In fact, the slobbering media said he would revolutionize the SEC. Since then the narrative has changed for the Bulldogs and Leach. Mississippi State has lost three in a row with quarterback PJ Costello in hot water. As always Leach was quick to blame his players as he vowed to “Purge” the roster of uncommitted players. Furthermore, SEC coaches have figured out Leach’s Air Raid offense. They just drop eight guys back and allow nobody to get behind. Now it’s up to Leach to adjust.
Mississippi State Bulldogs at Alabama Crimson Tide
When: Saturday, October 31, 2020, 7 p.m. ET
Where: Bryant Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Alabama
TV: ESPN
Bookmaker Odds: Mississippi State Bulldogs +32 at Alabama Crimson Tide -32, over under 62
Mississippi State Bulldogs at Alabama Crimson Tide Bookmaker Wagering Analysis
Alabama is rampaging against the sportsbook while the Bulldogs have been discredited. Mississippi State lacks public appeal at Alabama.
Pirate’s Ship Sinking
Last week the Mississippi State Bulldogs were on a much-needed bye that followed a 28-14 home loss to Texas A&M as 4.5-point dogs. Under the total of 55 was a winner too. It was the third consecutive CFB odds loss for MSU.
Mississippi State now stands at 1-3 straight up, against the spread and under the total. Offensively the Bulldogs rank 88th for scoring while defensively Hail State ranks 42nd for points allowed.
After a sensational debut in the opening win over LSU, transfer quarterback KJ Costello is fighting for his job. He has been wildly inconsistent with 10 interceptions against six touchdown passes.
Crimson Tide Rolls with Big Mac Jones
Last Saturday on the CBS feature game Alabama got the cash in a 48-17 win at Tennessee as 21.5-point chalk as under the total of 67 paid too. Heisman trophy candidate Mac Jones passed for 387 yards. While Najee Harris ran for 96 yards and three touchdowns.
Alabama is 5-0 straight up, 3-2 against the spread, and 4-1 over the total. Offensively the Crimson Tide ranks third for scoring while defensively the Tide ranks 41st for points allowed.
Quarterback Mac Jones has emerged as a Heisman Trophy candidate. To illustrate Jones has a 212.8 rating, 13 yards per attempt, 12 touchdown passes, and just two interceptions. Of great concern is a season ending injury to game breaking wide receiver Jaylen Waddle. Waddle had a team best 557 yards with 22.3 yards per catch.
Mississippi State Bulldogs at Alabama Crimson Tide Against the Spread
Against the SEC Mississippi State is 8-12 against the spread. On the road the Bulldogs have covered just four of their last 11 matchups. And as road underdogs Hail State is 1-5 vs. the odds. On the road Mississippi State is 4-7 under the bet on NCAAF total. Overall, in the regular season MSU is 9-18 under the number. In SEC games Hail State has gone under in 15 of their last 20 matchups.
Overall Alabama is 17-15 vs. the line. And at Bryant Denny Stadium Alabama is 9-7 against the spread. On the over under board the Crimson Tide is 20-11 over the total. At Bryant Denny Stadium the Crimson Tide is 10-5 over the total. While in SEC tilts over the total has paid in 14 of Alabama’s last 21 games.
Alabama has covered four of their last five games against Mississippi State. Only four of the last 20 games between these two teams cleared the total. And at Bryant Denny Stadium the Bulldogs paid in just one of their last six visits. Only one of those six games cleared the total.
Mississippi State Bulldogs at Alabama Crimson Tide Bookmaker Free Pick
Alabama has dominated this Betting on CFB series. There is nothing to indicate that’s going to change here.
Bulldogs at Crimson Tide Bookmaker Best Bet: Alabama Crimson Tide
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