The USC Trojans will look to clinch a spot in next week’s Pac-12 Championship game, as they visit the UCLA Bruins on Saturday in what will be the 90th edition between the crosstown rivals. USC has dominated the series of late, winning 16 of the last 21 meetings, but UCLA did win the last meeting at the Rose Bowl. USC comes into this game unbeaten and ranked No. 16 in the country, while the Bruins are 3-2. The Trojans are listed as 3-point road favorites, with the total listed at 61. Let’s look at the game and college football picks.
USC Trojans at UCLA Bruins
When: Saturday, December 12, 2020, 7:30 p.m. ET
Where: Rose Bowl, Pasadena, CA
TV: ABC
College Football Odds at BookMaker.eu
USC Trojans -3
UCLA Bruins +3
Total 61
USC Trojans at UCLA Bruins Wagering Analysis
The Trojans lead the all-time series 48-32-7. UCLA has won 11 of the last 18 games in the Rose Bowl against USC. The Trojans won in the Coliseum last year by a score of 52-35. The Trojans enter this game unbeaten and coming off a 25-point win against Washington State. QB Kedon Slovis threw four TD passes to WR Amon-Ra St. Brown in the first quarter. Slovis leads the nation in completions and he is in the Top 10 in completion percentage and passing yardage. USC’s defense has continued to improve and they have 12 takeaways on the season. USC is second in the country in turnover margin.
The Bruins are coming off a win against Arizona State last weekend and UCLA enters this game with a winning record. UCLA is winning with a good ground game, as they rank 16th in rushing offense. RB Demetric Felton Jr. is 11th in the country in rushing at 115.6 yards per game and QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson returned to the lineup last week. UCLA’s defense is in the Top 20 in sacks and tackles for loss.
USC Trojans at UCLA Bruins Against the Spread
The Trojans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings at UCLA. The Trojans are 16-35-2 ATS in their last 53 road games. The Trojans are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite. The Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Bruins are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. The Under is 4-0 in the Trojans last 4 games overall.
The Under is 4-0 in the Bruins last 4 home games. The Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings at UCLA.
USC Trojans at UCLA Bruins Free Pick
Both of these teams are coming off big wins last week but the Bruins will have an extra day of rest as they played on Saturday, while USC played on Sunday. I think the Trojans are a little bit better than the Bruins but that has already been factored into this line. The Bruins are at home, playing with more rest and they are getting points. The key in this game is how well Dorian Thompson-Robinson plays. If he doesn’t turn the ball over then I think the Bruins can win this game. Chip Kelly will need to call a smart game and avoid putting Thompson-Robinson into bad situations. UCLA is good enough to win this game if they don’t lose the turnover battle. I think the Bruins will be able to run the ball and keep this game from getting out of control and that means the points are worth taking. I give the Bruins a decent chance to win this game outright, so I will take UCLA in this contest.
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