Week seven includes what will be one of the most important Pac 12 Conference games all season as the Oregon Ducks will be a potentially live home dog when they host a Washington Huskies team that is considered the favorite to win the league. Washington features one of the top defenses in the country but has suffered from an inconsistent offense that has been a source of perpetual frustration. Oregon has a good offense but has been quite vulnerable on defense. As a result, the live betting matchup opportunities could be in constant flux for maximum value and advantage.
Watch this Week 7 matchup live on Saturday, October 13, 2018, at 2:30 p.m. ET from Autzen Stadium, Eugene, Oregon. The game can be seen on ABC.
College Football Odds at BookMaker.eu
Washington -3.5
Oregon +3.5
Over/Under (Check Back Later)
Odds Analysis
Washington is the more established brand due to its success under head coach Chris Petersen with appearances in a college football playoff and back to back New Year’s Six bowls. Oregon is yet to fully regain the public’s confidence since their epic fall under Mark Helfrich in 2016. The Ducks are now on their third coach since that season with Mario Cristobal.
Current Form
Washington has a record of 5-1 straight up but is just 2-4 against the spread with five of their six games going under the total. The Huskies are coming off a somewhat lackluster 31-24 loss at UCLA as 21-point chalks.
Oregon has a record of 4-1 straight up but has covered just one out of their five games this year. The Ducks have gone over the total in three out of five games this season. Oregon is coming off a bye week that followed a 42-24 payout at Cal.
Team Metrics
The Ducks rank 15th in the country for total offense and 12th for scoring offense. Defensively Oregon ranks 51st for points allowed. Washington ranks a rather lackluster 45th for total offense but has a championship level defense that ranks fourth for points allowed.
Top Trends
Washington has failed to cover three of their last four games as road favorites with six of their last eight games in that role going under the total. However, Oregon has not delivered as a good betting value as a home dog with just one payout in their last five getting points at Autzen Stadium. Five out of Oregon’s last six as a home dog have gone over the total.
Head to Head
Washington has covered the spread in their last two games against Oregon. The Huskies paid in their last game at Oregon two years ago 70-21. The last four meetings between these teams at Oregon have gone over the total.
Players to Know
Washington senior quarterback Jake Browning is almost certain to be a top NFL draft pick but has not played up to his same level of the 2016 playoff season. Browning has nine touchdown passes with five interceptions and 9.08 yards per attempt with a 66.9 percent completion rate.
Junior wide receiver Aaron Fuller is Browning’s favorite target with 35 catches good for 16.4 yards per reception and two touchdowns.
Senior running back Myles Gaskin keeps defenses honest with 4.5 yards per carry and 554 total rushing yards with five touchdowns.
Oregon junior quarterback Justin Herbert has caught fire with a 180.9 rating and a 15/5 touchdown to interception ratio.
Junior wide receiver Dillon Mitchell has an Oregon best 27 receptions with 16.4 yards per catch and two touchdowns.
Free Live Betting Picks
When you combine all of the dynamics of these two teams and the players involved there could be some good live betting opportunities on over the total. Beyond that the Washington defense should slow down Oregon, at least somewhat. Washington should be prepared for this one after their weak win at a bad UCLA team.
College Football Odds: Washington 31, Oregon 21
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