Week seven includes an important Big Ten Conference matchup between the Michigan State Spartans and Penn State Nittany Lions as both teams are coming off painful home losses. For the Spartans their loss last week at home to Northwestern was a stark reminder about their offensive limitations. For Penn State their home loss two weeks ago in their white out game against Ohio State has been seen by many as a give away that fans will need a long time to get over. With both teams looking to get back on track the live betting options will focus on the contrasting strengths and weaknesses of the matchup.
This matchup in Week 7 will take place on Saturday, October 13, 2018, at 2:30 p.m. ET at Beaver Stadium, University Park, Pennsylvania. Big Ten Network is providing the telecast of this game.
College Football Odds at BookMaker.eu
Michigan State +13
Penn State -13 -
Over/Under (Check Back Later)
Odds Analysis
Michigan State has blown a considerable amount of credibility with their two losses on the season. Their terrible offensive play and inconsistent defense makes the Spartans a hard sell for gamblers. Penn State is seen as a top team that never should have let a seemingly beaten Ohio State off the hook in the eyes of the betting public.
Current Form
The Penn State Nittany Lions are 4-1 both straight up and against the spread with four of their five games going over the total. Penn State is coming off a bye that followed a 27-26 home loss to Ohio State as they blew a 26-14 lead with eight minutes to play in the fourth quarter.
The Michigan State Spartans are 3-2 straight up and 1-4 against the spread with four of their five games going over the total. The Spartans are coming off a 29-19 home loss to Northwestern as a 10.5-point chalks.
Team Metrics
Michigan State ranks an alarming 85th in the country for scoring offense and 110th for rushing yardage. Their defense ranks a somewhat above average 41st for points allowed. The Spartans rank a horrible 123rd against the pass.
Penn State ranks fifth in the country for scoring offense and 34th for scoring defense.
Top Trends
Michigan State has covered four of their last six games as a road dog with three of their last five in that role going under the total.
Penn State has lost three of their last four as a home chalk but over a longer period of time they have lost just three out of their last 11 laying points at Beaver Stadium. Four of the their last five in that situation have gone over the total.
Head to Head
Michigan State has come away with the cash in four of their last five games against Penn State with seven of the last eight in this head to head series going over the total. The Spartans have covered two of their last three visits to Beaver Stadium with three of the last four between these teams at Penn State going over the total.
Penn State’s Clear Offensive Matchup Edge
Penn State senior quarterback Trace McSorley actually enhanced his Heisman Trophy prospects in the loss to Ohio State as he threw for 286 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 175 more yards in an epic performance. This year McSorley has thrown for 10 touchdowns and two interceptions.
Junior running back Miles Sanders gives Penn State another weapon with 6.2 yards per carry, 538 total rushing yards and six touchdowns.
Free Live Betting Pick
Michigan State’s offense makes them difficult to recommend. Furthermore, the Spartans defense is not in top form. McSorley and Sanders are tandem of terror for enemy defenses. Penn State head coach James Franklin was defiant in the face of the Ohio State loss stating that his team will go from great to elite status. Only if Michigan State is far behind would they rate potential live betting value.
College Football Odds: Penn State 31, Michigan State 10
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