Week seven will include a Friday night appetizer on ESPN when the struggling Tulsa Golden Hurricane hosts the undefeated University of South Florida Bulls in American Athletic Conference action. There are a multitude of live betting angles and possibilities to consider. The overall weakness of Tulsa could leave betting opportunities on South Florida. But you may also find plenty of opportunities on fading the public by taking potentially enhanced betting value on the Golden Hurricane. In fact, South Florida may be undefeated but they have not brought much in the way of betting value so far.
Kickoff for this regular season Week 7 game is set for Friday, October 12, 2018, at 7 p.m. ET at Chapman Stadium in Tulsa, Oklahoma. TV coverage is on ESPN
College Football Odds at BookMaker.eu
South Florida (Check Back Later)
Tulsa (Check Back Later)
Over/Under (Check Back Later)
Odds Analysis
Tulsa will be a difficult sell for the betting public as a team with a 1-4 record and metrics that reflect that mark. South Florida on the other hand is well respected as a team that usually goes to bowl games and is undefeated for this one. So as always, whether betting on the regular side or with live betting the question will be value.
Current Form
The South Florida Bulls are 5-0 straight up and 2-3 against the spread with three of their five games going under the total. USF is coming off a 58-42 win at UMass and covered as 14-point road favorites.
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane enter this matchup with a record of 1-4 straight up and 2-3 against the spread with four of their five games going under the total. Tulsa is coming off a 41-26 loss at Houston in which they did cover as 17.5-point dogs.
Team Metrics
Tulsa has some alarming numbers that gamblers may want to pick apart. The Golden Hurricane ranks 105th in the country for scoring offense and 92nd for scoring defense.
South Florida ranks 22nd overall for total offense but a more mediocre 61st for points allowed on defense.
Top Trends
South Florida has often proven to be an overlay on the road as proven by their recent mark of 6-1 straight up but 3-4 against the spread. The Bulls have gone over the total in four of their last five road tilts. However, Tulsa has been an even worse betting value at home with a mark of 1-6 vs. the odds in their last seven games at Chapman Stadium. Five of the Golden Hurricane’s last six home games went under the total.
Head to Head
South Florida failed to cover a 27-20 home win over Tulsa last year as 23.5-point chalks. In fact, the road team has covered the last two meetings in this series.
Players to Know
Junior quarterback Blake Barnett pilots the South Florida attack with a 153 rating and 65.1 completion rate good for 8.78 yards per pass. Barnett has nine touchdown passes and four interceptions.
USF junior Jordan Cronkite is averaging 8.8 yards per carry with a team best 606 total rushing yards and five touchdowns. Freshman back Johnny Ford is playing like a senior with an even six yards per carry with two touchdowns.
Tulsa quarterback Luke Skipper is likely out of this game with an undisclosed issue. That means freshman Seth Boomer is likely to get the start instead which further adds to the live betting dynamics of this game. Boomer had to fill in against Houston and completed just 13 out of 31 passes while getting sacked four times.
Free Live Betting Pick
Tulsa was already a bad team and a poor value at home. Now with an inexperienced freshman under center their problems are enhanced. There should be some good live betting opportunities on the USF Bulls in this one.
College Football Odds Free Pick: South Florida 42, Tulsa 14
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