The Colorado State Rams have been trying to dig out from the very start of their 2018 season that began with head coach Mike Bobo being hospitalized during preseason camp followed by a jaw dropping 43-34 opening day loss to Hawaii. The Rams have won two in a row after starting 1-4 as they have managed to get back into the Mountain West Conference Mountain Division race. The Boise State Broncos are always in the Mountain Division hunt but haven’t brought gamblers much in the way of betting value lately.
Kickoff for this regular season Week 8 game is set for Friday, October 19, 2018, at 9 p.m. ET from Albertsons Stadium, Boise, Idaho. TV coverage is on ESPN2.
College Football Live Betting Odds at BookMaker.eu
Colorado State Rams (Check Back Laster)
Boise State Broncos (Check Back Later)
Over/Under (Check Back Later)
Live Betting Odds Analysis
There are few betting factors more burned into the brains of the college football wagering public than Boise State hosting a night game on their famed blue turf. This goes back to the days when the Broncos were a perennial top ten contender that would curb stomp helpless opponents for easy payouts at home. These days have seen the blue turf become more of a myth than a reality as far as betting value.
As a result of this the live betting prices will be affected as the linemaker knows what the public will be thinking as far as the blue turf image. The question for live betting is if Colorado State is good enough to take advantage of potentially enhanced value.
Current Form
Boise State is 4-2 straight up and 3-3 against the spread with an even 3-3 split on totals. The Broncos are coming off a 31-27 gut check win at Nevada but failed to cover as 14.5-point chalks.
Colorado State is 3-4 both straight up and against the spread after their 20-18 home win and payout over New Mexico. The Rams have gone over the total in just two of their games.
Team Metrics
Colorado State’s defense is a major weakness that ranks 107th overall in the country. Offensively the Rams also struggle with a ranking of 102nd for scoring.
Boise State has superior production in comparison as the Broncos rank 19th for total offense and 23rd for total defense.
Players to Know
Both of these Mountain West Conference programs are highly quarterback centric.
Boise State is led by quarterback Brett Rypien, who has a 149.9 quarterback rating with a 14/5 touchdown to interception ratio.
The Colorado State attack is piloted by quarterback KJ Carta Samuels. Samuels has a 139.5 quarterback rating with 16 touchdown passes and six interceptions.
ATS Trends
Boise State has seen their wagering value drop dramatically as a home chalk. In fact, the Broncos have covered just four of their last 18 as chalks on the blue turf. Six of Boise State’s last nine as home chalks have gone over under the total.
Conversely Colorado State has come away with the money in 11 out of their last 15 as road dogs with four of their last five in that role going over the total.
Head to Head
Boise State has controlled the cashier’s cage in their head to head series with Colorado State. The Broncos have paid in four of their last five against the Rams with five of the last seven in this series going over the total. But CSU has paid in two of their last three visits to Boise State with two of those games also going over the total.
Free Live Betting ATS Pick
A big factor in live betting for this matchup is the defensive edge that Boise State will have. Countered against that is the matchup of the two outstanding quarterbacks. At the end the Broncos defense should prove decisive.
College Football Live Betting Odds Pick: Boise State 35, Colorado State 21
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