I’ve rued the day I had to sit in front of the computer and recap the massacre that went down with last week’s XFL parlay picks. It all started with my first bad beat of the season in the Week 3 opener between Seattle and Vegas. We backed the Vipers +3 and looked well on our way towards cashing that ticket in for 55+ minutes. But then Ben Dinucci stepped back on a 4th down with no timeouts and let it fly. Miraculously the ball landed right in Josh Gordon’s waiting hands and 65-yards later we found ourselves with a losing ticket in hand and one minute remaining on the clock. Vegas did squat with their possession and fell by a 30-26 final count. Sunday treated us no better with the Battlehawks, Renegades, and Brahmas all going up in smoke. The weekend would’ve been salvaged a wee bit had San Antonio punched it in from the 1-yard line to grant us a backdoor cover in the closing minutes, but the football gods refused to oblige. The 0-4 showing against the XFL odds moves us to 5-7 ATS for the season. Let’s see if we can get it all back and some with my Week 4 XFL parlay picks!
Bet XFL Week 4 Parlay Picks at BookMaker.eu
Parlay #1
Orlando Guardians +9.5
San Antonio/Seattle Over 41
Arlington/St. Louis Under 36.5
DC Defenders -6.5
Payout: $100 to win $1228
Orlando Guardians +9.5
It took about 15 minutes of watching last week’s game against Arlington for me to know I made the incorrect call to back the Renegades minus the points. I immediately bought out of the wager and ate the juice by hitting the Guardians live. The move proved to be wise after Orlando only fell by a 10-9 final count and destroyed the hosts in the box score. Terrell Buckley and the coaching staff noticeably rectified a number of issues enough to the point that I’m confident backing the Guardians plus the points in this rematch with the XFL South rival Roughnecks who trounced Orlando 33-12 in Week 1.
This will be Houston’s first trek away from the comforts of TDECU Stadium. As such, it will be interesting to see how Wade Phillips’ troops react to playing away from their rabid fan base. While I don’t think Orlando will be able to bank on an intense home field advantage since the team’s done very little to demand their fans pack Camping World Stadium, the revenge factor paired with growth on both sides of the ball has me taking the healthy helping of points. The Roughnecks possibly being forced to run offense without stud RB Max Borghi is also a factor. Let’s see how Brandon Silvers runs the offense with his safety valve either out or not 100 percent.
San Antonio/Seattle Over 41
Seattle sports far and away the most electric offense of all eight teams in the XFL. RB Morgan Ellison spearheads a rushing attack that’s averaged 99.0 yards per game (No. 3), while QB Ben Dinucci directs the league’s top-ranked passing attack that’s averaged 284.0 passing yards per game. While San Antonio ranks No. 7 overall in total offense in averaging 232.0 yards per game, I think this is a good spot for Jake Coan and Co. to thrive running up against a Sea Dragons stop unit that’s been bludgeoned since holding DC to 177 total yards in the season opener.
It followed that showing up by allowing St. Louis to go for 284 yards and then last week served up 343 yards in that miraculous win against the Vegas Vipers. Most importantly, Seattle has been extremely beatable on the ground where it’s served up 108+ rushing yards each of the last two weeks. The Brahmas rank No. 2 rushing the ball with the 1-2 punch of Kalen Ballage and Jacques Patrick doing work. Seattle’s O-Line is conceding just 1.0 sack per game. That should allow the passing attack the time needed to get the ball downfield for some big chunk plays. Seattle has played to three straight overs, and this is the Brahmas third straight on the road. It’s also dealing with injuries along the D-Line. Look for the first XFL After Dark game of the year to deliver!
Arlington/St. Louis Under 36.5
The Arlington Renegades have no clue how to run efficient offense. The St. Louis BattleHawks defense has been an enormous disappointment. Something will have to give there. On the flipside, A.J. McCarron is the QB1 for the league’s No. 4 ranked total offense. Arlington’s defense ranks No. 3 overall in allowing just 258 total yards per game. It also puts a good amount of pressure on opposing quarterbacks in racking up eight total sacks for a loss of 49 yards. With St. Louis sporting the XFL’s second worst rushing attack, the passing game is what’s allowed the team to get out to a 2-1 start. That being said, the front wall has been porous in allowing 12 sacks for an average of 4.0 per game, while Arlington’s racked up an average of 2.7 sacks per game.
Making matters all the more worse for the Battlehawks in their home debut is that starting tackle Jaryd Jones-Smith was just suspended for two games. Though the Renegades have suffered a pair of big losses in their secondary over the last few weeks, I still expect Co-DC’s Jay Hayes and Tim Lewis to devise a solid game plan that keeps the Battlehawks passing attack under wraps and forces them to the ground where the unit’s struggled mightily in averaging just over 77 yards per game (No. 7). With the Dome rocking, look for both defenses to set the tone in this one.
DC Defenders -6.5
I’m still reeling over the Vipers preventing us from cashing that ticket in last week. The effort put forth against the Sea Dragons was by far the best of the season yet it still resulted in a big fat L! Though they seek same season revenge after dropping an 18-6 decision to the Defenders at home in Week 2 – a game we took the points with DC in – I just think these teams are in two completely different stratospheres. If you remember, my main reason for backing DC in the first meeting was because of its ability to force turnovers paired with the Vipers propensity to cough it up. Though they only managed to force one, it proved to be a momentum changer after Brett Hundley fumbled the ball away in the red zone.
What ultimately separated the teams on the playing field was the Defenders ability to run roughshod upon the Vipers hapless run defense with DC going for 231 rushing yards. Abram Smith led the charge with 69 yards and a healthy 6.3 yard per carry average. The following week, Vegas served up 143 rushing yards to Morgan Ellison and the Sea Dragons which leads me to believe the prior week’s performance wasn’t an anomaly. DC owns the XFL’s top ranked rushing attack by a country mile, while the Vipers have been ripped for over 150 rushing YPG and allowed 4.64 yards per carry (No. 8). Audi Field has proven to be a house of horrors for all who enter, and I expect that trend to continue Sunday night.
BookMaker offers play-by-play betting odds for live sporting events every day! The user-friendly wagering interface on your smartphone provides an easy way to place bets on the go. Mobile betting lines are updated by the minute, so click here to start gambling on thrilling live action at BookMaker Sportsbook!
Check out the latest odds at BookMaker
