There is no shortage of talent as the European Tour pegs it up this week in Germany for the BMW International Open. The tournament was shuttered last year due to COVID issues but resumes with U.S. Open runner-up Louis Oosthuizen positioned close behind opening favorite Viktor Hovland on the odds board. Sergio Garcia is third on the list with a major drop off in price following the top three. The trio competed last week in the States, as did several others among the field, but that doesn’t necessarily exclude them from contending. Three of the past four winners all made the long-distance trip after playing the U.S. Open the week before. Andrea Pavan is the defending champ after knocking off Matthew Fitzpatrick in a playoff for his second ET victory. For updated betting odds visit BookMaker.eu when you’re ready to place a wager.
Odds to Win BMW International Open
Viktor Hovland +650
Louis Oosthuizen +700
Sergio Garcia +1100
Bernd Wiesberger +2200
Matthias Schwab +2200
Thomas Pieters +2500
Martin Kaymer +2800
Antoine Rozner +3300
Dean Burmester +3300
Sam Horsfield +3300
Kurt Kitayama +3500
Thorbjorn Olesen +3500
Alexander Bjork +4000
Lucas Herbert +4000
Ryan Fox +4000
Andy Sullivan +4500
Adrian Otaegui +5000
Andrew Johnston +5000
Edoardo Molinari +5000
Calum Hill +5500
Eddie Pepperell +5500
Joachim B Hansen +5500
Pablo Larrazabal +5500
Takumi Kanaya +6000
Jamie Donaldson +6600
John Catlin +6600
Justin Harding +6600
Padraig Harrington +6600
Rasmus Hojgaard +6600
Stephen Jaeger +6600
George Coetzee +7000
Jazz Janewattananond +7000
Masahiro Kawamura +7000
Brandon Stone +8000
Jonathan Caldwell +8000
Odds Analysis
Calum Hill +5500
It’s been a strong season to date for Hill, who is looking for his first ET win but has lacked the big finish. He placed among the top-5 three times and has a total of four top-10s, the last coming at the British Masters last month when he was T8. His lack of experience could be holding him back, but with a number of starts under his belt that is subsiding. And he knows how to win capturing two titles in a three start span on the Challenge Tour back in 2019. It seems like only a matter of time before Hill visits the winner’s circle at an ET event.
Sam Horsfield +3300
Put him in a regular Euro Tour event like this one and I’ll take my chances with Horsfield. He finished no worse than T21 in his last five such tournaments with a pair of top-5s and an additional top-10. Unlike the top four on the odds board, Horsfield didn’t play the U.S. Open and therefore should be well rested. And his stats suggest a good showing. He ranks first on the Euro circuit in birdies per round, second in strokes gained: approach and his scoring average is sixth.
Martin Kaymer +2800
I keep going back to Kaymer with hopes that he’ll get things turned around. There was a brief moment not too long ago when he appeared to be on the right track. He’s missed the cut in his last four starts and has had an up-and-down history in homeland tournaments. But when he’s good he’s been really good. He won here in 2008 and also has four other top 20s in this tournament. He’s one of just a few Germans in the field and by far the most accomplished, so I’m betting on him using the home field edge to get back to the top.
Thorbjorn Olesen +3500
We haven’t seen a lot of Olesen this year, but what we have seen has been attention-grabbing. He’s played the weekend in every start with a top finish of T5 at the Lopesan Open. Results haven’t been as good lately with three straight finishes outside the top-30, but his metrics suggest better things this week. He’s eighth on Tour in scoring average and ranks 11th in putting stats. He also has a pair of co-runner-up finishes and an additional top-10 in his last four BMW starts.
Louis Oosthuizen +700
It might be too soon to back Oosthuizen after another disappointment in a major championship. At least he knows he did nothing wrong last week finishing as runner-up in his second straight major and for the sixth time in his career. Since it’s happened so often I guess he’s used to it and will take out his frustrations this week. Oosthuizen has risen to No. 12 in the world rankings and his putting has been lights out, something that should benefit him this week on a course where the flat stick will be the deciding factor.
Course: Golfclub Munchen Eichenried – 7,283 yards, Par 72
The original host of the BMW International Open when the tournament was founded in 1989, the Golfclub Munchen Eichenried in Munich underwent a massive overhaul ahead of the 2019 edition. That didn’t seem to affect the field two years ago when Pavan and Fitzpatrick finished 72 holes at 15-under. In the past we had routinely seen winning scores reach the -20 level with the layout not offering much resistance. It is a relatively easy course, though danger lurks in the form of water hazards on more than half the holes. The finishing stretch is a challenge. The par-4 16th is a risk/reward play with its green guarded by water on three sides. The par-3 17th awards a new BMW to the first player with a hole-in-one, and a sharp dogleg on the par-5 18th can make or break a players round.
TV Coverage: Golf Channel
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