Rory McIlroy is a solid favorite to win the BMW PGA Championship on the European Tour this week. He gets a bit of a break because both Jon Rahm and Justin Rose decided to bypass this event and play in the Fort Worth Invitational on the PGA Tour instead. McIlroy is the top betting choice at odds of +750, while Alex Noren is the second choice at odds of +1350. Let’s look at the odds and predictions for the BMW PGA Championship.
BMW PGA Championship Odds
Rory McIlroy +750
Alex Noren +1350
Paul Casey +1400
Tommy Fleetwood +1400
Branden Grace +1600
Francesco Molinari +1800
Ian Poulter +2500
Shane Lowry +2500
Matthew Fitzpatrick +3000
Andy Sullivan +3300
Byeong-Hun An +3300
Paul Dunne +3300
Rafa Cabrera Bello +3300
Tyrrell Hatton +3300
Joost Luiten +4500
Kiradech Aphibarnrat +4500
Alexander Bjork +5000
Alexander Levy +5000
Andrew Johnston +5000
Thomas Pieters +5000
Adrian Otaegui +6000
Chris Wood +6600
Dylan Frittelli +6600
Hideto Tanihara +6600
Jorge Campillo +6600
Lee Westwood +6600
Martin Kaymer +6600
Pablo Larrazabal +6600
Ross Fisher +6600
George Coetzee +8000
Graeme McDowell +8000
Hao Tong Li +8000
Jeung-Hun Wang +8000
Julian Suri +8000
Odds Analysis
Rory McIlroy +750
If Rory plays well he will win this event, as his best is better than anyone else’s best in this field. He might even be able to win with less than his best but the problem with backing Rory is that he doesn’t win as often as you might think. He also struggles on this course, especially in the first two rounds. He did play well in the first two rounds in 2014 and won this tournament, but too often he gets too far behind at Wentworth. I think he is overvalued at these odds.
Alex Noren +1400
Noren was great last year in this event with a final round 62. He has played more on the PGA Tour this year than on the European Tour and he played well, with seven finishes of Top 21 or better in ten starts. I think he has some value at these odds.
Paul Casey +1400
Casey is kind of like McIlroy in some respects, as he has a marquee reputation but he simply doesn’t win that often. He also doesn’t play that well at Wentworth. I’ll pass.
Tommy Fleetwood +1400
I think Fleetwood should be listed as the second choice in the betting behind McIlroy. You can even make a case that Fleetwood should be favored, as he has won more often recently than has McIlroy.
Branden Grace +1600
Grace was in contention last year in this event and he has four top 25 finishes in five visits. Grace played well on the PGA Tour last week with a tie for 3rd and I expect him to be in contention this week.
Francesco Molinari +1800
The West Course is really suited for a player like Molinari and he has seven top 30 finishes in this event. Molinari has not been in great form this season, but he could turn things around on this course.
Shane Lowry +2500
You have to give Lowry a chance this week, as he has four top six finishes in this event. He has not played on the European Tour since finishing in a tie for 2nd in the DP World Tour Championship.
Byeong-Hun An +3300
An has played well this season overall, but this is only his third start on the European Tour this season. He won this event in 2015 and I think he is a live longshot this week.
Course: Wentworth Club was redesigned before last year’s event and players gave the thumbs up to the improvements. Four of the greens were entirely rebuilt and four five others were partially rebuilt. Alex Noren won this event a year ago by shooting 11-under par. Nine of the last ten winners of this event ranked 7th or better in All-Around, so this course is a fair test.
TV Coverage: CBS and Golf Channel
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Mobile betting lines are updated by the minute so click here to start gambling on thrilling live action at BookMaker.eu. The BMW PGA Championship is scheduled for May 17-20, 2018. Wentworth Club will host the event and Golf Channel will televise it.
