Things are starting to heat up on the European Tour. Half of the remaining 10 tournaments in the Race to Dubai are Rolex Series events, beginning with this week’s prestigious BMW PGA Championship at Wentworth Golf Club in Surrey, England. You can tell things are serious by looking at the names entered. Newly minted PGA Tour Player of the Year Rory McIlroy headlines the field as the betting favorite at offshore sportsbooks, and the FedExCup champ is featured in a number of tournament matchups. Visit BookMaker.eu for matchup betting odds when you’re ready to make a wager.
BMW PGA Championship Matchup Odds at BookMaker.eu
Branden Grace -129 vs. Sam Horsfield +101
Marcus Kinhult +110 vs. Eddie Pepperell -140
Robert MacIntyre -113 vs. Lucas Bjerregaard -117
Alex Noren -127 vs. Bernd Wiesberger -103
Francesco Molinari -129 vs. Patrick Reed -101
Tony Finau -121 vs. Matthew Fitzpatrick -109
Gavin Green +132 vs. Russell Knox -166
Rory McIlroy -156 vs. Paul Casey +124
Thomas Detry -110 vs. Alexander Bjork -120
Henrik Stenson +111 vs. Tommy Fleetwood -141
Andrea Pavan -141 vs. Tom Lewis +112
Andrew Putnam -102 vs. Martin Kaymer -127
Matthias Schwab -122 vs. Danny Willett -108
Joost Luiten -133 vs. Mike Lorenzo Vera +103
Hao Tong Li -137 vs. Lee Westwood +107
Tyrrell Hatton -123 vs. Rafael Cabrera Bello -107
Billy Horschel -122 vs. Ian Poulter -108
Erik Van Rooyen -130 vs. Thomas Pieters +100
Shane Lowry -111 vs. Viktor Hovland -119
Matt Wallace +110 vs. Matthew Fitzpatrick -140
Tony Finau -153 vs. Matt Wallace +122
Justin Rose +101 vs. Tommy Fleetwood -131
Jon Rahm -139 vs. Paul Casey +109
Rory McIlroy -128 vs. Jon Rahm -102
Justin Rose -124 vs. Henrik Stenson -106
Need to Know
Two of my matchup picks from last week finished in the top-10 and still lost. It wasn’t a good week for me, but that happens and that’s how the books stay in business. The head-to-heads this week are intriguing with such a strong field of PGA and Euro Tour players. And I need to recoup some of my losses. Onward I go. The West Course is one of three 18-hole courses at Wentworth Club, hosting this tournament every year since 1984. Recent renovations added yardage and numerous bunkers so it now plays at 7,284 yards and par 72. West is a tight, tree-lined course with tricky greens that were all modified before the 2017 playing. There are a number of birdie opportunities and the field can gain strokes on the final two holes, which are manageable par-5s. Eight of the last 10 winners ranked highly in GIR, which always help.
BMW PGA Championship Matchup Picks
Bernd Wiesberger -103 vs. Alex Noren
A final round 64 at the Porsche European Open got Wiesberger into the top-5 and restored some faith we had lost in the Austrian. He was MC-T30-T32 in three previous starts following his win at the Scottish Open. Currently second in the Race to Dubai rankings, there is plenty at stake for Wiesberger over the next several weeks. Noren has performed well at Wentworth, but he’s struggled recently and I find it difficult to back him.
Francesco Molinari -129 vs. Patrick Reed
His win here last year was part of a glorious 2018. However, Molinari has cooled off in 2019, but this has always been a good week for him. Six of his last seven visits to Wentworth produced a top-10, including a runner-up showing the year before his victory. He didn’t stand out they way he would’ve liked on the PGA Tour the last few months, but there’s something about returning to Europe that seems to spark him. Reed is a formidable foe, however the game has been lacking the last few starts and he’s another Wentworth virgin.
Shane Lowry -111 vs. Viktor Hovland
If these guys were offered against anyone else I’d snatch them up in a second. Unfortunately, they go head-to-head against each other forcing me to choose. I guess I could go with another matchup, but this one is just too juicy. Hovland has been pure nasty with a meteoric rise in the OWGR. However, I’m banking on the veteran Lowry to put one of his stellar performances together at a venue he digs. He’s never won at Wentworth, but six top-15s in his last eight starts with four doubling as a top-six have me backing Lowry.
Rory McIlroy -128 vs. Jon Rahm
It’s hard to go against McIlroy considering he was the best player on the PGA Tour last season. He’s not done counting his winnings from the FedExCup title and he’s back on the course, showing there’s no hangover with a runner-up finish at the European Masters a few weeks back. He has had success at Wentworth with a win in 2014 and second last year. And since Rahm is making his debut on this track I’m leaning Rory’s way for a head-to-head win.
Tommy Fleetwood -131 vs. Justin Rose
It’s been awhile since Fleetwood posted a tournament victory, so instead I’ll take him in this matchup. “I feel comfortable on the course and feel like it suits me,” Fleetwood said of Wentworth. But a T6 in 2015 is his only top-15 in seven starts. There have been some good outings recently, like a T8 at the European Masters and his 43-11-13 showings in the FedExCup playoffs.
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