The European Tour heads to Spain for the Andalucia Masters, and Sergio Garcia is heavily involved. Not only is he the tournament host, he’s also the three-time defending champion and opened as the second favorite behind Jon Rahm on the odds board at BookMaker.eu. Recent form has been ugly at best, but Garcia absolutely loves playing Real Club Valderrama and has to be considered no matter what. The tournament gets a change on the calendar, moving from its usual October date, and that could have an effect on the field.
Odds to Win Andalucia Masters at BookMaker.eu
Jon Rahm +590
Sergio Garcia +625
Matthew Fitzpatrick +930
Joost Luiten +2000
Julian Suri +3000
Thomas Detry +3300
Matthias Schwab +3500
Jorge Campillo +4000
Adrian Otaegui +4000
Andy Sullivan +4000
Andrea Pavan +4500
David Lipsky +4500
Paul Waring +4500
Ross Fisher +4500
Soren Kjeldsen +5000
Victor Dubuisson +5000
Pablo Larrazabal +5000
Mikko Korhonen +5000
Marcus Kinhult +5000
Ashley Chesters +5000
Andrew Johnston +5500
Paul Dunne +6000
Aaron Rai +6600
Oliver Wilson +6600
Richie Ramsay +7000
Benjamin Hebert +7000
Fabrizio Zanotti +7000
Gavin Green +8000
Guido Migliozzi +8000
Jason Scrivener +8000
Nacho Elvira +8000
Kurt Kitayama +8000
Chris Paisley +8000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +8000
Richard Sterne +8000
Wade Ormsby +9000
Maximilian Kieffer +9000
Matthew Southgate +10000
Jeff Winther +10000
Edoardo Molinari +10000
David Horsey +10000
Alejandro Canizares +10000
Scott Hend +10000
Scott Jamieson +10000
Sean Crocker +10000
Robert Rock +10000
Gonzalo Fdez-Castano +10000
Alvaro Quiros +12500
Dean Burmester +12500
Joachim B. Hansen +12500
Min Woo Lee +12500
Oliver Fisher +12500
Odds Analysis
Sergio Garcia +625
Welcome home Sergio! Garcia has played Valderrama a lot, and he’s played it well every time. He’s won this particular event three consecutive times, though there was a gap between his first title in 2011 and his second in 2017. And his record on this track has produced nine top-5s and only one finish outside the top-10 in 14 lifetime starts. “This is my favorite golf course ever,” Garcia said. Yeh, no kidding Sergio. He missed the cut in three of his last four starts, but his play here is ridiculous. Even at his price Garcia is a solid bet.
Jon Rahm +590
A lot of golfers say experience at Valderrama is a must. If that’s the case, Rahm learned his lesson from a MC here in 2017. Rahm returned to Spain last year to win the Open de Espana in Madrid and is hoping that first go-round at Valderrama eases some of the tension. Rahm is coming off a T3 at the U.S. Open with all four rounds at or below 70. I like Rahm; however there are better value picks in the field.
Adrian Otaegui +4000
There are some talented golfers further down the odds board, and one with good form, experience and the home country edge is Otaegui. “It’s my favorite course in Spain for sure. It’s a course you need to know and the more you play it the more you’re going to learn from it. I’ve been lucky to play it many times so I can benefit from that experience.” A T12 here two years ago is a good start, as is a T25 or better in four of his last six starts.
Andrew Johnston +5500
We haven’t heard much of “Beef” lately, but keep an eye on him this week. He’s performed well at Valderrama in the past, winning the 2016 Open de Espana by shooting 3-under. He placed among the top-25 in each of the last two playings of this event and his ball striking was a thing of beauty last week in Germany.
Ashley Chesters +5000
It looks like the Englishman is getting warmed up for his return to Valderrama. Chesters nabbed his best finish in three months with a T21 at the BMW International last week, and heads to Valderrama looking to improve on his solo fourth from last year. Chesters grabbed the 18-hole lead with a 66, but he slipped in the later rounds and was denied a chance at a comeback when the tournament was cut short. He grabbed 12th in his first visit in 2017 and offers a good payday.
Course: Real Club Valderrama – 7,001 yards, Par 71
The tree-lined fairways put an emphasis on accuracy from the tee box, and the lack of distance doesn’t necessarily equate to a lack of difficulty. In fact, Valderrama has long been thought of as one of the tougher courses on the European Tour. In 2016, Andrew Johnston won the Open de Espana on this course when the average score was over 75. Major changes to the course followed and scores dropped, but the small, undulating greens are a test for a players putting ability. Last year’s event was interrupted by rain and reduced to 54 holes. The move up on the calendar will allow for more favorable conditions, though it will be warm with potential windy conditions over the weekend.
TV Coverage: Golf Channel
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