The European Tour stays in Newport, Wales, for the second of consecutive tournaments at the historic Celtic Manor Resort with this week’s ISPS Handa Wales Open. The event makes a return to the circuit’s rotation after being discontinued following the 2014 edition. You have to wonder how much of an advantage Sam Horsfield has on the field after last week’s 2-shot win at the Celtic Classic on the same track. Horsfield opened as the second favorite behind Thomas Pieters, who tied for third three shots off the pace. A number of players who competed last week are back in the field so don’t expect many surprises from the course that hasn’t been altered too much between events. Visit BookMaker.eu for a complete list of betting odds for the 2020 ISPS Handa Wales Open when you’re ready to place a wager.
Odds to Win ISPS Handa Wales Open at BookMaker.eu
Thomas Pieters +1045
Sam Horsfield +1130
Hao-Tong Li +1285
Robert MacIntyre +1625
Gavin Green +2200
Andrew Johnston +2200
Robert Rock +2800
Mikko Korhonen +2800
Ryan Fox +3000
Jordan Smith +3000
Marcus Kinhult +3000
Eddie Pepperell +3000
Renato Paratore +3300
Ross Fisher +3500
Alexander Bjork +3500
Connor Syme +4000
Adri Arnaus +4000
Sean Crocker +4000
Lorenzo Gagli +4000
Jason Scrivener +4000
Justin Harding +4500
Kurt Kitayama +4500
Adrian Otaegui +4500
Wilco Nienaber +5000
Thorbjorn Olesen +5500
Jeff Winther +5500
Chris Paisley +5500
Aaron Rai +5500
Romain Langasque +6000
Nicolas Colsaerts +6600
Sami Valimaki +6600
Richie Ramsay +6600
Brandon Stone +6600
Adrian Meronk +7000
Min Woo Lee +7000
Jack Senior +7000
Matthew Southgate +7000
Wil Besseling +7500
Odds Analysis
Gavin Green +2200
There’s a lot to build off for Green, who just started the UK Swing a few weeks ago. He missed the cut at the English Championship despite signing a pair of 69s. It’s not like his game was in bad shape. He followed that with last week’s T11 at the Celtic Classic with a brilliant final round 63 carding eight birdies and 10 pars. Typically a strength it was the driver that let Green down last week. He’s also used to playing in less than ideal conditions which is why I’m backing the young Malaysian as he builds off his impressive last 18 on this track.
Thomas Pieters +1045
I was hesitant to back Pieters last week simply because he hadn’t played since the restart. While he didn’t win the tournament it wasn’t a bad showing. He grabbed a share of third and was only three-shots off the pace. We know he can hit the ball and that proved invaluable on the long course. Now that he’s shaken some cobwebs off the sticks I’m looking for more consistency. He opened last week with a 64 to take the lead and finished with a 67 proving the course isn’t an obstacle.
Connor Syme +4000
Finishing right there with Pieters last week, Syme grabbed the 54-hole lead after a scintillating 63. He was unable to maintain the momentum carding a final round 71 to drop into tie for third. That final round may have been an outlier since his stats back up a stronger showing. Syme ranks in the top-10 on Tour in driving accuracy, stroke average and GIR. He also has something to prove after the meltdown cost him.
Adrian Otaegui +4500
Another player benefitting from a week on the course is Otaegui, who posted four red numbers at the Celtic Classic. This came after an impressive run at the English Championship where he finished 20-under. One encouraging aspect of his game was a run of five birdies over the final eight holes on Sunday. He’s put together eight consecutive sub-par rounds using a hot putter, and as long as he stays dialed in he should be in contention.
Sean Crocker +4000
One bad round cost Crocker last week. If not for that third-round 73 he would have been in contention had everything else remained constant. And we’ve watched the young American gain confidence in his play. His approach game has improved in every stop on the UK Swing leading to a number of strong showings. Earlier this month he was T15 at the Hero Open followed by a T9 at the English Championship. The run of form brought his price down, but he’s still a worthwhile pick.
Course: Celtic Manor Resort – 7,354 yards, Par 71
Unlike what we saw on the PGA Tour when Muirfield Village was transformed into a different layout for the second of its consecutive events, that won’t be the case for the Twenty-Ten Course at Celtic Manor Resort. It sets up the same at 7,354 yards at par 71 with the only difference being the weather. Conditions were pristine last week and there’s a good chance that changes. Wind gusts and rain are in the forecast and both can be potentially hazardous. Wind and the presence of water on the course can lead to lower scores. It’s also why we’ve seen single-digit under par winners in the past. It’s a long and challenging test for players with a number of areas to avoid. The expected conditions will also add a layer of discomfort so don’t expect the numbers we saw here last week.
TV Coverage: Golf Channel
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