Florida was a stop the first two years but in a different capacity than what we’ll see this week at LIV Golf Miami. Trump National Doral hosted LIV’s season-ending team championship in 2022 and 2023 and also hosted stops on the PGA Tour for years, but this tournament takes place during the regular LIV season with the field competing for individual rewards for the first time. As has been the case since he joined LIV Golf, Jon Rahm opened as the betting favorite in the outright market, though the odds gap has closed. Winner in two of this season’s first three events, Joaquin Niemann is the second favorite followed by Bryson DeChambeau. They are the only players with shorter than 10/1 odds on the opening line. Tournament matchup odds have been released with the favorites included so be sure to visit BookMaker.eu for a complete updated list when you’re ready to place a wager.
LIV Golf Miami Matchup Odds
Jon Rahm -134 vs. Joaquin Niemann +112
Bryson DeChambeau -134 vs. Tyrrell Hatton +112
Cameron Smith +106 vs. Brooks Koepka -127
Dustin Johnson -127 vs. Talor Gooch +106
Louis Oosthuizen -127 vs. Paul Casey +106
Adrian Meronk -115 vs. Dean Burmester -105
Abraham Ancer -110 vs. Sergio Garcia -110
Carlos Ortiz -127 vs. Jason Kokrak +106
Charles Howell III -110 vs. David Puig -110
Patrick Reed +100 vs. Lucas Herbert -120
Henrik Stenson -115 vs. Richard Bland -105
Mito Pereira -120 vs. Sebastian Munoz +100
Anirban Lahiri +106 vs. Peter Uihlein -127
Harold Varner III +106 vs. Cameron Tringale -127
Matthew Wolff +100 vs. Bubba Watson -120
Kevin Na -110 vs. Marc Leishman -110
Branden Grace +100 vs. Caleb Surratt -120
Ian Poulter -127 vs. Graeme McDowell +106
Sam Horsfield -120 vs. Charl Schwartzel +100
Brendan Steele -138 vs. Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra +115
Thomas Pieters +106 vs. Scott Vincent -127
Pat Perez -120 vs. Phil Mickelson +100
Matt Jones -127 vs. Andy Ogletree +106
Lee Westwood -115 vs. Martin Kaymer -105
Kalle Samooja -128 vs. Jinichiro Kozuma +107
Need to Know
It’s quite a change for field with the Blue Monster at Trump National Doral nearly 1,000 yards longer than the Hong Kong Golf Club. Abraham Ancer nearly squandered a six-shot lead last month holding on to defeat Paul Casey and Cameron Smith in a playoff on the much shorter track. At over 7,700 yards the Blue Monster is a stiff test for the field with 13 players getting prepped for Augusta National the following week. Defending Masters champion Jon Rahm leads the LIV Golf contingent. The field must first navigate a challenging course that has numerous water hazards, deep bunkers surrounding the greens and long, narrow fairways. At least most know what to expect after playing here the last two years. Dustin Johnson, Phil Mickelson and Patrick Reed have all won previous tournaments at Trump National.
LIV Golf Miami Matchup Picks
Patrick Reed +100 vs. Lucas Herbert
This isn’t a course that I would bet Reed would have success on. He typically plays better on shorter tracks, but he can use his strengths of putting and scrambling to his advantage. And he has a win at Trump National on his resume when he captured the WGC Cadillac Championship in 2014. It’s been a few years but at least he can claim it. Reed was also a member of 4Aces GC that won the team championship on this course in 2022. At even-money I’ll back Captain America.
Phil Mickelson +100 vs. Pat Perez
It seems as though these two are paired up every tournament with Mickelson having the upperhand until Hong Kong. Lefty opened with a 10-over and finished one shot out of last place. I’m betting the break in between tournaments will have a positive effect since he was coming off just his third top 10 since joining LIV. And Mickelson doesn’t have much time left if he keeps playing as poorly as a he did in Hong Kong giving him a sense of urgency to at least not finish near the bottom.
Matthew Wolff +100 vs. Bubba Watson
Course length definitely plays a role in how players perform. Some are just better on longer layouts and Wolff is one of those players. The two shortest courses of the season gave Wolff his two worst results. Though not as beefy as Trump National, the Las Vegas Country Club presented more of a challenge in terms of distance and Wolff tore it up finishing 2-shots off the lead alone in fourth. He’s among the leaders in average distance off the tee which should help on the Blue Monster.
Cameron Smith +106 vs. Brooks Koepka
I don’t like betting against Koepka, but when Smith gets in a groove he’s one of the best players around. Both will be fine-tuning their game with Smith breaking out of a little slump last time out tying for the lead before falling in a playoff. He closed with a bogey-free round making up six shots but couldn’t close. It was Smith’s best finish since winning at Bedminster last year and at plus odds I have to back him.
Abraham Ancer -110 vs. Sergio Garcia
I debated over my pick in this matchup first backing Garcia before finally settling on Ancer. I think the course is a better fit for Sergio given its length, but he’s struggled in other areas of his game that have prevented him from contending. Ancer emerged victorious in Hong Kong, but he tried desperately to give the trophy away with a closing 2-over leading to a playoff. He recovered on the extra holes for his first LIV win and he’s among the best in relatable metrics.
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