It’s time for the second tennis major of the season, and that means we’re about to see Rafael Nadal in his element. Nadal is indisputably the best clay court tennis player the game has ever seen. He has won the French Open 11 times in his career, and the Spaniard has shown little sign of ceding his control of the clay. Nadal won the last two French Open titles, and he is looking to make it three straight. He is an odds-on favorite to do just that.
The 2019 French Open will take place at Roland Garros in Paris, France. This tournament will run for the next two weeks, and matches will be on the Tennis Channel, NBCSN, or NBC.
2019 Men’s French Open Odds at BookMaker.eu
Rafael Nadal -112
Novak Djokovic +260
Dominic Thiem +700
Field +850
Stefanos Tsitsipas +1700
Alexander Zverev +3400
Roger Federer +3400
Juan Martin Del Potro +5000
Borna Coric +10000
Fabio Fognini +10000
Stan Wawrinka +11000
Daniil Medvedev +11000
Kei Nishikori +15000
Gael Monfils +15000
Marin Cilic +30000
Karen Kachanov +30000
Marco Cecchinato +30000
Roberto Bautista Agut +33000
Nick Kyrgios +35000
Grigor Dimitrov +40000
Milos Raonic +40000
Alex de Minaur +40000
Lucas Pouille +70000
Denis Shapovalov +70000
Kevin Anderson +70000
Andy Murray +100000
Odds Analysis
Since entering his first French Open back in 2005, Rafael Nadal has only lost twice at this event. The first time was an absolute stunner, as the relatively unknown Robin Soderling played the game of his life to send Nadal crashing out of the tournament in the fourth round. That allowed Roger Federer to finally complete a career Grand Slam in what turned out to be his only French Open win.
It was six years before Nadal was to lose in the French Open again. In 2015, Novak Djokovic finally was able to defeat him at Roland Garros, and that’s the last time Nadal has lost at this event. However, there is reason to think he’s a little vulnerable. Nadal will turn 33 during the French Open, and he lost the traditional tune-up for this event, the Madrid Open, two weeks ago. Stefanos Tsitsipas sent Nadal out in the semifinals.
The player with the best shot of knocking off Nadal at the French Open is Djokovic. He has the second-best odds of anyone in the field, and he has the best record of anyone versus Nadal on clay. Djokovic has won seven of their 24 matches on clay court, and he won the Madrid Open over Tsitsipas two weeks ago. Djokovic has been the No. 1 player in the world for the last six months, and he has won three straight majors.
Dominic Thiem will eventually win a French Open. Thiem is one of the young guns in tennis whose ascension has been stalled by the old guard sticking around for longer than usual, and he has been great on clay. He made the semifinals of the French Open in 2016 and 2017, and he got to the finals last year before losing to Nadal in straight sets. Thiem is ranked No. 4 in the world entering the French Open.
None of the next options are very palatable at these prices. The field is a good option in the women’s tournament, but we have seen only a couple surprises at the men’s tournament over the last 15 years. Tsitsipas is a little intriguing, and Roger Federer will get his fair share of action at this price, but there is nothing I feel confident in.
If you’re feeling lucky and looking for a proverbial lotto ticket in the bunch, take a chance on Gael Monfils at these odds. Monfils is a fan favorite as a Paris native, and he has the style and panache to succeed at Roland Garros. Monfils won the Rotterdam Open earlier this year.
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