It appears as though the baton has been passed with the loss of Novak Djokovic in last year’s Gentlemen’s singles final. Carlos Alcaraz won his first Wimbledon title besting the betting favorite in five sets. At the time Alcaraz was ranked No. 1 in the world by ATP, so I guess it wasn’t a complete shock. Now in his late 30s time is running out on Djokovic to match Roger Federer for most Wimbledon singles titles and as the tournament nears we still don’t know if Djokovic is going to play due to a knee injury that forced him to withdraw from the French Open last month.
Djokovic sustained a torn meniscus in his right knee shelving him in the fourth round at Roland Garros. He underwent surgery shortly after that and it’s now a race against time whether he’ll be fit enough to play. Despite not knowing his status, early betting lines had Djokovic listed as the third favorite behind Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner, who opened as co-favorites. There is a significant drop in odds after the top three with Alexander Zverev the fourth favorite listed at +1400. You have to think if Djokovic plays he’ll be ready. The No. 2 ranked player in the world recently said, “If I know I can play close to my maximum or at maximum, then I’ll play. If not, then I’ll give somebody else a chance to play.”
Tennis Betting Odds
The 2024 Wimbledon Championship run from July 3-16 at the All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club. The oldest tennis tournament competed and the only major played on grass, Wimbledon is one of four Grand Slam events on the circuit. Visit BookMaker.eu for complete odds and to place your wager.
Odds to win 2024 Wimbledon Gentlemen’s Draw
Carlos Alcaraz +175
Jannik Sinner +175
Novak Djokovic +400
Alexander Zverev +1400
Hubert Hurkacz +1600
Daniil Medvedev +1600
Jack Draper +2000
Matteo Berrettini +2000
Alex De Minaur +2000
Grigor Dimitrov +2500
Taylor Fritz +3300
Stefanos Tsitsipas +4000
Sebastian Korda +4000
Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune +4000
Nick Kyrgios +5000
Andrey Rublev +6600
Ben Shelton +6600
Casper Ruud +6600
Tommy Paul +6600
Tomas Machac +6600
Alexander Shevchenko +6600
The uncertainty surrounding the health of Djokovic allows players like Alcaraz, Sinner and even Alexander Zverev, Hubert Hurkacz, Daniil Medvedev and Casper Ruud a chance to sneak into the winner’s circle. If he does compete it would be hard not to back Djokovic, though, especially considering his domination on grass where he’s won nearly 86 percent of his matches. That didn’t help him last year, though, when Djokovic lost a five-set thriller to Alcaraz.
There is a concern about Djokovic’s recent play as well with Father Time perhaps catching up with him. In seven tournaments this year he’s yet to reach a final falling in the round of 32 twice. He also lost in four sets to Jannik Sinner in the semifinals of the Australian Open. Sinner went on to defeat Daniil Medvedev for the title in Melbourne rallying to win the final three sets.
With a record of 38-3 and wins in Rotterdam, Miami and Germany along with the Australian Open, Sinner elevated to the No. 1 spot in the ATP rankings. However, two of those losses were against Alcaraz in the semifinals at Roland Garros and Indian Wells. I’d have a much easier time backing Sinner if he had just an iota of success against Alcaraz, but his losing career record of 4-5 gives me some concern.
With early odds of +6600 Casper Ruud is an intriguing candidate. He’s reached the semifinals in seven tournaments this year with wins in Geneva and Barcelona while going 39-10. He’s yet to win a Grand Slam event and hasn’t had much success at Wimbledon failing to advance past the second round in his last four tries.
Wimbledon Championship Picks
I’d like to think Djokovic still has something in the tank and you know he’s going all out if he can play. However, signs are there that the game has deteriorated with his age. Of course he’s been the best in the world for some time so the dropoff isn’t as significant as you might think. Alcaraz is another solid choice after winning the French Open in early June. However, a loss at the Queens to Jack Draper in the second round is concerning. It’s hard to imaging one of the top three not winning and my money is on Sinner for his first Grand Slam title.
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