It should be no surprise that Gerrit Cole opened as the betting favorite to win the 2022 American League Cy Young Award. Cole’s record-setting contract from two years ago remains fresh on the minds of gamblers. Also factoring is that he plays for baseball’s ultimate name brand. The masses will bet on anything with a New York Yankees logo. Cole has been quite good in his two years in the Bronx. The problem is that he hasn’t gotten much help. Down the list are some strong alternatives at a better price. Shane Bieber and Robbie Ray are recent winners in top form. And Justin Verlander is a past winner on a great team (Houston).
2022 AL Cy Young Odds to Win: Gerrit Cole (New York) +450, Shane Bieber (Cleveland) +700, Robbie Ray (Toronto) +900, Lucas Giolito (Chicago) +1100, Sean Manaea (Oakland) +1200, Dylan Cease (Chicago) +1200, Lance McCullers Jr (Houston) +1400, Justin Verlander (Houston) +1500, Frankie Montas (Oakland) +1500, Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay) +1600, Chris Sale (Boston) +1800, Christ Bassit (Oakland) +1800, Kevin Gausman (Toronto +1800), Shohei Ohtani (Los Angeles) +2000, Jose Berrios (Toronto) +2000, Lance Lyn (Chicago) +2200, Nathan Eovaldi (Boston) +2500, All Other Players +3000 or Higher.
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Odds Analysis
Unlike the National League, the American League Cy Young Award winners rarely run it back the following year. Pedro Martinez is the last man to do so in 2000 as a member of the Boston Red Sox. Recent back-to-back winners include Roger Clemens (1998) and Jim Palmer (1976).
Gerrit Cole +450
At the onset of the season, the New York Yankees were a top-tier World Series favorite. And while that is an annual tradition, it feeds into Gerrit Cole opening as chalk for the American League Cy Young Award. In fact, the two go together like ham and eggs. Much of this is based on branding. But ability factors into it as well.
Gerrit Cole is a 4-time All-Star, including last season. It would surprise some fans and gamblers to discover that he is yet to win the Cy Young Award. Last year Cole was 16-8 with a 3.23 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. Cole was dominant with 243 strikeouts in 181.1 innings of work. Cole is best known for his 2019 season with the Houston Astros when he went 20-5 with a 2.50 ERA and WHIP of 2.89. That campaign is what led to his bank-busting contract with the Yankees.
Shane Bieber +700
Of course, Shane Bieber was Cleveland's 2020 Cy Young Award winner. He is a 2-time All-Star, including last season. Bieber had a 2021 record of 7-4 with a 3.17 ERA and WHIP of 1.21. Of great concern is that he pitched only 92.2 innings of work. In the pandemic shortened 2020 season, Bieber was 8-1 with a 1.63 ERA and WHIP of 0.87 to claim the Cy Young.
Robbie Ray +900
Last year’s Cy Young Award winner, Robbie Ray, is Arizona's former National League All-Star. Ray was 13-7 with a 2.84 ERA and WHIP of 1.04 in 2021 for the Blue Jays. It was his far and away his best season since 2017.
Lucas Giolito +1100
The Chicago White Sox are a trendy futures market pick, which feeds into Lucas Giolito being a Cy Young Award favorite. Last year Giolito was 11-9 with a 3.53 ERA and 1.10 WHIP. He was a 2019 AL All-Star.
Dylan Cease +1200
Another White Sox pitcher to keep an eye on is Dylan Cease. Last year Cease broke out with a record of 13-7 and 3.91 ERA with a WHIP of 1.25.
2022 AL Cy Young Best Best Bet
Although the price isn’t low, Gerrit Cole is the class of the field.
BookMaker Pick: Gerrit Cole
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