First place in the NL East will be on the line through the weekend when the Atlanta Braves and New York Mets do battle in Queens. Sunday’s finale figures to be a good one with Charlie Morton set to square off against Jacob deGrom; the current leader on the futures odds to win the NL Cy Young Award. Ronald Acuna Jr. and company will be seeking some redemption having dropped the only series played between these teams just three series ago when New York went into Truist Park and took two of three immediately after getting swept right out of “The Trop” the series prior. Injuries and poor overall play find both clubs hovering around the breakeven point for the season. That still hasn’t prevented online sportsbooks from lining each amongst the favorites to win the National League behind only the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers.
First pitch for this NL East showdown between the Atlanta Braves and New York Mets is scheduled for Sunday, May 30, 2021, at 7 p.m. ET from Citi Field. This week’s Sunday Night Baseball telecast will air live on ESPN. Bet on MLB odds and player props at BookMaker.eu every day of the season.
MLB Betting Lines at BookMaker.eu
Odds Analysis
It hasn’t mattered where the Braves have played; the team simply can’t find any traction. As hosts, Atlanta sits a game under .500 and down over $550 for MLB bettors. The story hasn’t been much better on the road where Freddie Freeman and company check in 11-11 overall and down $10. For a team that leads the league at hitting home runs 78, plays solid defense No. 3 and has received the third most quality starts in the game 23, their 24-25 overall record is quite the head scratcher. The Mets have also cost their wagering supporters some money regardless of sitting two games over .500 in the overall standings. While it’s had issues winning games on the road 10-15, -$455, it’s been pretty tough to beat in its own ball park where it’s come out on top in 12 of 17 overall played games $276. That however hasn’t been the case in this rivalry with the teams splitting each of their last 10 run-ins within the confines of Citi Field.
Probable Pitchers
Charlie Morton: April was nothing if not disastrous for the veteran right-hander with only one of his five made starts being of quality. It equated to a 2-1 record but along with it came a bloated 4.76 ERA. May has been a much different story however with Morton trimming better than 1.5 runs off his ERA. More importantly, he’s led Atlanta to triumphs in each of his last two turns after tossing six innings of 1 ER ball at the Mets and then following it up with his best start of the season against the Red Sox whom he threw seven innings of shutout ball against and matched his season-high in strikeouts with nine. New York’s injury ravaged lineup ranks out as the third worst team in the league when staring back at right-handed pitching.
Jacob deGrom: The two-time Cy Young Award winner has allowed a grand total of 20 hits and seven runs 4 ER while racking up a 74:7 K/BB ratio through his 45 innings over seven starts. Those outputs have equated to a ridiculous 3-2 record. Seriously, the dudes conceded a grand total of 4 ER through 45 innings yet only has two wins to show for it?! It all stems from the Mets bats going dormant whenever he takes to the starting bump. Believe it or not, but New York has averaged just 2.9 runs per game in his starts and was shutout in two of them! The righty shouldn’t possess a single loss as he owns a league-low 1.18 FIP, allows a paltry 4.0 hits per nine innings as well as a league-high 14.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Lifetime against Atlanta he’s 8-7 with a 1.94 ERA and 0.97 WHIP, yet the Mets have only come out victorious in three of his last 10 home starts against the Braves.
Braves vs. Mets Prediction
While Atlanta rates out well against righties No. 5, deGrom isn’t your average run of the mill right-handed pitcher. That paired with the Mets ranking out as one of the worst offenses in the league against right-handers No. 28 has me leaning towards backing the under in the Sunday nighter. On top of all that, both Atlanta and New York possess bullpens ranked amongst the top-10 in the game. Provided neither pen is heavily taxed the first two games of the series, I don’t think there’s a higher prioritized investment to make in the finale than the under. deGrom’s last eight home starts saw the low side of the impost cash in at a 7-0-1 clip. It’s also 6-3-1 the last 10 times these division rivals locked horns at Citi Field. It’s the under or nothing in the finale!
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