MLB bettors have struggled to get much of a glimpse of the New York Yankees the first week of the MLB betting season due to Mother Nature and the Miami Marlins tainting Citizens Bank Park. They will however be there for all to see on Sunday night when they close a three-game set out against the Boston Red Sox under the lights of ESPN’s national telecast. James Paxton will get the starting nod for the home team with “The Big Maple” looking to get the taste of his horrendous debut versus the Orioles out of his mouth. Matt Hall will look to do the same after putting forth a less than stellar effort in his first-ever start at the MLB level. Look for the Yanks to be installed decided home chalk with the total in the 9-10 run range.
First pitch for the game between the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees is scheduled for Sunday, August 2, 2020, at 7:08 p.m. ET from Yankee Stadium. The matchup will be shown live on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball telecast. You can bet on MLB Odds at BookMaker.eu every day of the season.
Odds Analysis
It’s been a rough go of it for the Red Sox through six games with the team amassing a 2-4 record that’s cost baseball bettors upwards of $177. They dramatically ate into that deficit last time out by scoring a big underdog win against Jacob deGrom and the NY Mets. They’ll once again be decided underdogs again tonight, but their bats paint a different story with Xander Bogaerts and company raking left-handed pitching to the tune of a .296 batting average and .873 OPS. As for New York, it’s won three of four played games which resulted in a meager $74 return on investment; they went off the board a -215 favorite on average. NY had an issue with the lone lefty faced this season, but that south paw just so happened to be Patrick Corbin who is one of the best in the league!
Probable Pitchers
Matt Hall: starting pitching has been an extreme bugaboo for the Red Sox, and the lifetime reliever made starter didn’t do anything to rectify the situation last Tuesday night at Citi Field. Hall gave up three hits and 3 ER while striking out three and walking one through just 2.2 innings. So much for impressing in spring training and summer camp! He was hampered by a 35-pitch second inning that quickly bloated his pitch count. That happens again, and Boston’s No. 23 ranked bullpen will once again be thrown to the wolves much to the elation of live bettors banking on runs being scored.
James Paxton: his season debut against the Washington Nationals was one to forget after the lefty was tagged for 5 hits and 3 ER with a 1:1 K/BB ratio through a lone inning of work. Six of the nine overall batters he faced managed to reach base safely. Most concerning was the fact that his fastball velocity was way down from norms of years past. It clocked in above 95 mph the last three seasons yet only registered 92.4 against the Nats. With the veteran coming off back surgery, is it time to worry? Hopefully he just needs to get his arm back to full strength. Either way, he’ll have his hands full against a potent BoSox lineup that he silenced a year ago to the tune of a 3.28 ERA and .187 BAA over four starts.
Player Prop Targets
One Boston power bat that’s had loads of success versus Paxton in the past is J.D. Martinez. He’s collected seven hits in 17 career at-bats with four of those hits going for extra bases; he’s also knocked in a team-leading 5 RBI against the Yanks No. 2 starter. Hall is a relative unknown to the Yankees who as a team collectively have eight overall at-bats against him. However, you might want to give Gleyber Torres some burn considering he’s teed off on left-handed pitching to the tune of a .750 average and 2.250 OPS with a HR and 2 RBI in four at-bats.
MLB Pick
I called for a high scorer in Citi Field last Sunday night, and I’m doing so once again when these hated rivals close their series out on Sunday Night Baseball in Yankee Stadium. I have no clue what to expect from Hall in his second start, but figure he’s going to have a rough go of it against NY’s right-handed power bats. Though he’ll return to the bump off a week’s worth of rest, will it have been enough to get Paxton’s arm right? Just make sure we got an ump behind the dish with a tight strike zone before emptying your piggy bank on the over. Should all the stars align however, hit that over until the cows come home!
MLB Odds: Yankees 9, Red Sox 5
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