Would you have believed it if told the Seattle Mariners would own a better record than the New York Yankees heading into the All-Star break of the 2021 MLB betting season? That’s the harsh reality Aaron Boone’s squad is faced with as it returns to the diamond to host the AL East leading Boston Red Sox in the standalone game at online sportsbooks coming out of the break. Sitting three-games over the breakeven point and in fourth place within the division, this is a crucial series for the Yankees if they’re to eat into the eight-game deficit in the standings. Boston has owned the rivalry to date taking all six meetings including the three-game set in the Bronx back in early June. If they’re to finally end their embarrassing seven-game losing streak to their most hated rivals dating back to last season, the offense is going to need to find a way to solve the riddle that’s been Eduardo Rodriguez with the left-hander leading Boston to a pair of wins in his two starts against them this season.
First pitch for this AL East scuffle between the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees is scheduled for Thursday, July 15, 2021, at 7 p.m. ET from Yankee Stadium. The matchup will air live on ESPN. Bet on MLB odds and player props at BookMaker.eu every day of the season.
MLB Betting Lines at BookMaker.eu
Odds Analysis
In the COVID marred season, the Red Sox cost MLB bettors upwards of $800 by only winning 24 games to bring up the rear of the standings. What a difference a year makes! Boston currently owns the second-best record in the AL tied with the Houston Astros, and has put a cool $1500+ worth of baseball betting profit in their wagering supporter’s pockets. Only the surprising San Francisco Giants and aforementioned Mariners have reeled in more coin for their backers. It hasn’t mattered where the BoSox have taken the field either with it the owner of a 28-19 home record and 27-17 tally on the road. The same can’t and won’t be said of the disappointing pinstripes with the Royals, Twins, Orioles and Diamondbacks the only four teams to cost baseball bettors more money coming out of the All-Star break. NY’s 23-22 home record is the main reason why it’s routinely proven to be one of the worst bets in the game.
Probable Pitchers
Eduardo Rodriguez L: After tossing six innings of shutout ball at the A’s in Oakland his previous start, the lefty got touched up right from the outset his time out in Anaheim. Though Boston tied the game up soon after, Rodriguez would concede back-to-back home runs in the fifth inning to Shohei Ohtani and Jared Walsh to ultimately take his fifth loss of the season. E-Rod begins the second half 6-5 with a 5.52 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and .284 batting average against. He allows a ton of contact evidenced by the 102 hits conceded in his 89.2 total innings. However, positive regression could be headed his way with his FIP clocking in at 3.64 - nearly two runs lower than his ERA. He’s been dominant through two starts against the Yankees holding Aaron Judge and company to just 10 hits and 5 ER while logging a 15:1 K/BB ratio through 11.1 innings. That said, he’s the owner of a .515 BAA through 10 Yankee Stadium starts.
To Be Determined R: It’s unknown at the time of this writing who will toe the bump for the Yankees in the series opener. It’s highly doubtful Gerrit Cole takes the ball having last tossed 129 pitches in the complete game shutout masterpiece thrown at the Astros in Houston over the weekend. Jameson Taillon last threw on Sunday so he’s likely off the table as well. Unless upper management reaches down to the farm, it’s likely going to be one of two left-handers in Nestor Cortes Jr. or Jordan Montgomery that gets the starting nod.
Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction
After crushing left-handers for what seemingly feels like forever, the Yankees have been nothing if not mediocre against them this season. Through 30 games, New York has tallied a 15-15 overall record which has equated to a -$670 deficit against the closing MLB odds. Rodriguez has more than held his own against their underachieving lineup this season. Boston ranks out amongst the best in the game against righties No. 4 and lefties No. 8, so it doesn’t really matter who toes the bump for the home team in the opener. With that, I’ll side with Rafael Devers and his mates to continue beating the tar out of their most hated rivals and turn the pressure up even more on upper management to make decisions that will change the future outlook of the franchise.
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