Two teams traveling similar paths will collide against the MLB betting odds in front of a nationally televised audience on Saturday night when the Los Angeles Angels and Philadelphia Phillies pick their series back up from the City of Brotherly Love. Joe Maddon’s squad is struggling mightily right now having dropped six straight games at online sportsbooks after getting bludgeoned by the Yankees in Tuesday’s series opener. It hasn’t been much better for Joe Girardi’s squad who just dropped a fifth straight game to the Giants to fall 12.5 games out of the NL East pennant race. The timing for these two to cross paths couldn’t have come at a better time with each needing a win in the worst of ways to improve morale within each respective clubhouse. A pretty solid starting pitching matchup is set to go down with Michael Lorenzen set to square off against Zack Wheeler who’s simply been unable to mimic last year’s showing that saw him come up just short of taking home the Cy Young Award. As locked in the latter has been at home as well as under the lights, I like the Phillies to take this one in a low scorer.
First pitch for the interleague showdown between the Los Angeles Angels and Philadelphia Phillies is scheduled for Saturday, June 4, 2022. Take it in live on FOX at 7:15 p.m. ET from Citizens Bank Park. Bet on MLB odds and player props at BookMaker.eu every day of the season.
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Odds Analysis
At one point this season, the Halos were challenging the Houston Astros for division supremacy. That however is no longer the case with it now five games in back of the division leaders with a 27-23 overall record. It’s amounted to a -$146 return on investment against the MLB odds with a bulk of that deficit incurred at home -$274. Even after falling in New York Tuesday night, Los Angeles owns a 12-10 record on the road where $128 of profit has been added to its supporter’s bankrolls. The over has cashed in seven of their last 10 road games. Philly has been nothing short of abysmal for MLB bettors with it currently eight-games under the breakeven point at 21-29. It’s cost their supporters over $950 overall with a whopping $692 of the deficit logged in front of the hometown faithful where they’ve managed just 11 wins through 26 tries. Under bettors have banked in their last 10 home games with it cashing in eight times!
Probable Pitchers
Michael Lorenzen R: The experiment to take the right-hander out of the pen and insert him into the starting rotation has paid off for the Angels through the first two months of the baseball betting season. Through eight starts, Lorenzen stands 5-2 with a 3.19 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, and stellar .211 batting average against. On the road, he’s only conceded 18 hits 1 HR and 8 ER through 18.2 total innings of work. That being said, he’s run up against the A’s and injury riddled White Sox in two of the three starts. On top of that, he’s only tallied a 7:5 K/BB ratio. However, Philly scores nearly a run less per game against righties than it does lefties, and stands 13-23 in those contests. Lorenzen’s stuff should translate in this spot.
Zack Wheeler R: When you take road starts as well as outings thrown during the day out of the equation, the right-hander would once again be in the mix for Cy Young. Wheeler has been nothing short of dominant at home as well as at night. He’s 2-2 with a 1.48 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, and .189 BAA in his five made home starts as well as 2-1 with a 1.69 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, and .219 BAA in starts made under the lights. Los Angeles has roughed left-handed pitching up to the tune of 5.0 runs per game, but has had issues against righties. Since losing three straight to open the year, Wheeler has either won or logged a no-decision in his last five starts. He’s allowed eight hits and 1 ER with a K/BB ratio of 16:3 his last two starts and should be fired up for this one.
Angels vs. Phillies Prediction
With both offenses likely flexing their offensive muscles in the series opener with backend starters taking to the bump, I’m expecting the second game of this series to play more to a pitcher’s duel. Though Lorenzen has opposed some questionable opposition in a majority of this limited road starts, he still enters this outing have logged three straight quality starts. He’s also been tough to figure out at night evidenced by his .194 BAA under the lights. While Wheeler hasn’t thrived like fantasy baseballers that drafted him would’ve liked, he’s been nothing short of dominant in this game’s splits home/night. As such, look for runs to be tough to come by with both starters likely going deep into the night. Gimme the under for the first five innings and full game! Fingers crossed both squads horrendous bullpens don’t have much of a say in the final outcome.
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