The MLB betting week closes out at online sportsbooks with the ESPN Sunday Night Baseball telecast that pits the Milwaukee Brewers up against the Philadelphia Phillies from the City of Brotherly Love. The Brew Crew has come out victorious in eight of their 13 played games regardless of scoring three fewer runs than the pitching staff has conceded. The Phillies -10 run differential has seen it get out to a poor 5-8 record that currently finds it situated in fourth place of the NL East. Though Milwaukee currently trails the St. Louis Cardinals by a half-game for division bragging rights, it’s still the -140 chalk to come out on top of the division at season’s end. The same can’t and won’t be said for the Phillies who currently offer up a +475 rate of return to fend off the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves for top honors. But with Aaron Nola on the bump and the Brewers going with their No. 5, I expect Philly to come out on top in the series concluder.
First pitch for the series finale between the Milwaukee Brewers and Philadelphia Phillies is scheduled for Sunday, April 24, 2022, at 7 p.m. ET from Citizens Bank Park. This week’s Sunday Night Baseball telecast will air live on ESPN. Bet on MLB odds and player props at BookMaker.eu every day of the season.
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Since dropping their season opening series at Chicago and looking terrible in doing so, Milwaukee has either split or won each of its last three played series. It just busted the brooms out on the Pittsburgh Pirates to move to 8-5 overall for the year -$16. It’s played to a .500 record on the road through six tries to put $84 worth of baseball betting profit in their supporter’s pockets. The Brewers have also been at their best versus right-handed pitchers in going 6-2 $290. The season started off with a bang for the Phillies after taking three of its first four games against the A’s and Mets. Since then, Bryce Harper and Co. have managed just two wins through their last nine played games -$636. Put it all together, and the Phillies rank out as the third worst bet in the game -$407. They’ve split their six games in front of the hometown faithful -$121, but haven’t hosted a game since April 13. They’ll be pumped for this litmus test!
Probable Pitchers
Eric Lauer L: The southpaw has been serviceable through his first two starts in helping lead the Brew Crew to a pair of victories. Though things were a bit rocky in the season opening effort versus Baltimore, he still only allowed 3 ER and struck out five through 4.1 innings. That was followed up with a pristine five hit and 1 ER showing versus the Pirates with another five strikeouts. He’s only walked three batters through 10.1 combined innings of work. The velocity on his fastball is up from last season, and his off-speed stuff has peppered the strike zone. The lefty is feeling it right now, but Philadelphia represents his toughest test to date with it raking LHP to the tune of a .301 batting average and .949 OPS while averaging 6.3 runs per game.
Aaron Nola R: The Phillies poor start can be highly attributed to the slow starts both Nola and Zack Wheeler have gotten out to. Through three starts, the righty is the owner of a 1-2 record and yawnstipating 5.52 ERA without tossing a single quality effort. That being said, the opposition has been tougher with the Mets getting out to a great start and the Rockies always tough to tame in Coors. More importantly, the strikeouts are there with his K/9 sitting at 9.8 even though he isn’t fully stretched out just yet. Bothersome however are the four long balls already served up, but that likely won’t play a role in this one with Milwaukee ranking out less than league average at reaching the cheap seats. While the Brewers have hit Nola’s stuff throughout his career, it’s only amounted to a 3.05 ERA and 1.13 WHIP over eight starts. He owns a career 11.2 K/9 versus the Brew Crew, so his K prop is in play and should be targeted!
Brewers vs. Phillies Prediction
Though Milwaukee enters this series the much hotter of these two teams, the offense has still left much to be desired. If not for their dominant staff and top-10 ranked bullpen, they’d be at the bottom of the division standings instead of jockeying with St. Louis for first place. In the sweep of the Buccos, they only scored a total of 15 runs. The offense ranks out in the bottom third of the league in most pertinent scoring categories. Nola has inarguably gotten out to a rough start, but I expect him to be way up for this start with a nationally televised audience looking on. I firmly expect him to play up to his staff ace moniker and put Philly in a position to win this game and likely cover the run-line in the process due to the offense’s penchant for teeing off on southpaws.
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