Following back to back playoff seasons that included nice profits on the MLB board the Colorado Rockies took a big step back in 2019 with a 71-91 record and plenty of red ink for gamblers. The 20-win drop was due in large part to one of the worst pitching performances in all of Major League Baseball. While the Rockies believe that the step back campaign was an aberration there is plenty of skepticism about that claim. Colorado did boast a productive lineup last year but if the pitching doesn’t pick up it will be another long season in the Mile High City. Some sharps and bargain hunters see the possibility of potential of a market correction and wagering value on the Rockies for 2020.
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2020 Colorado Rockies Win Total Odds at Bookmaker.eu: 74.5, even, -130 under
The path back to a Colorado winning season and beating the 2020-win total of 74.5 begins with the weak National League West. Outside of the super power Los Angeles Dodgers, the Arizona Diamondbacks, San Diego Padres, and San Francisco Giants are all beatable opponents for the Rockies. Additionally, the Colorado pitching staff dropped so badly that its reasonable to assume some type of positive correction. All of which would serve to pad the win total and send it over the number.
Manager Bud Black
Bud Black will enter his fourth season as Colorado manager. He previously managed the San Diego Padres from 2007 through 2015 and was pitching coach for the 2002 World Series champion Los Angeles Angels. Black is seen as someone that not only led the Rockies back to respectability but as a pitching guru that can get the staff back on track for 2020.
On the Hill
The 2019 campaign was an unmitigated disaster for the Rockies pitching staff. Colorado had Major League Baseball rankings of 29th for earned run average, 30th for WHIP, 25th for quality starts, and 29th for bullpen.
German Marquez is expected to be the number one starter in the Rockies rotation. For 2019 Marquez was 12-5 with a 4.76 earned run average and WHIP of 1.20. Adding merit to the theory that Colorado may see improved pitching is the fact that Marquez posted a much better 3.77 earned run average in 2018.
Jon Gray is slated to be the number two starter and had solid production for 2019. Gray was 11-8 with a 3.84 earned run average and WHIP of 1.35. In fact, Gray shaved his ERA down from 5.21 in 2018.
Perhaps the biggest improvement on the mound could come from number three projected starter Kyle Freeland. In 2018 Freeland was 17-7 with a 2.85 earned run average and WHIP of 1.25. But last year he was shelled for a 3-11 mark and 6.73 earned run average with a WHIP of 1.58.
The closer role will either go to Scott Oberg, who had five saves with a 2.25 earned run average and 6-1 record last year or Wade Davis, who was 1-6 with an 8.65 ERA and in decline for the second straight year last season.
At the Plate
The poor Colorado pitching wasted the efforts of a productive lineup that ranked ninth for runs scored in 2019.
Third baseman Nolan Arenado is a NL All-Star for the past five consecutive seasons. Last year Arenado hit 31 doubles, 41 home runs and 118 runs batted in.
Shortstop Trevor Story is a NL All-Star for the past two seasons and scored 111 runs with 38 doubles and 35 home runs in 2019.
2020 Colorado Rockies Win Total MLB Betting Odds Pick
With a strong offense and improved pitching going up against the mediocre National League West the Rockies should be improved and clear the win total.
2020 Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Odds Prediction: Over 74.5 wins
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