It has been quite the eventful offseason for the New York Mets, who emerged as a surprise contender in 2019. Now the question is whether or not the Mets outkicked their coverage last year. Management certainly didn’t think so as manager Mickey Callaway was fired despite leading New York to their first winning season in three years. Callaway had the Mets within range of the playoffs but they faded when it mattered most costing the skipper his job. Carlos Beltran was hired to replace Callaway but had to depart before managing a single game due to his connection to the Houston Astros sign stealing scandal. Luis Rojas was named manager on January 22 after serving as the Mets quality control coach. Where this leads for 2020 is the daunting task of handicappers who remain split on just how good New York actually is.
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2020 New York Mets Win Total Odds at Bookmaker.eu: 86.5, -135 over, +105 under
When it comes to the Mets there is always an element of caution that is advised. New York is often over-hyped as a team with a large and rabid fanbase. Their surprise run last year has only served to feed that beast. The fact remains that the two-time defending National League East champion Atlanta Braves remain the class of the division while the Washington Nationals are defending World Series champs with strong pitching. The Philadelphia Phillies may bounce back after a letdown campaign in 2019. Only the Miami Marlins are a certain loser for 2020 in the NL East. All of which makes for a tricky if not difficult schedule for the Mets.
On the Hill
New York boasts one of the most important elements for a championship run which is a pitching staff that ranked third for quality starts in 2019. However, a bullpen ranked 25th in MLB must drastically improve.
Number one starter Jacob deGrom anchors the Mets rotation after winning the NL Cy Young Award the past two seasons along with consecutive NL All-Star appearances. For 2019 deGrom was 11-8 with a 2.43 earned run average and WHIP of 0.97. He struck out 255 batters in 204 innings of work.
Right hander Marcus Stroman went a deceptive 10-13 last year despite an earned run average of 3.22. Stroman was also a 2019 All-Star.
Another right hander, Noah Syndergaard, was 10-8 with a 4.28 earned run average in 2019. It was something of a step back after four consecutive seasons with an ERA of 3.24 or lower. Improvement is expected for 2020.
Closer Edwin Diaz was shelled for a 5.59 earned run average after saving 57 games with a 1.96 ERA in 2018. Which Diaz the Mets get could hold the key to their 2020 post season hopes.
At the Plate
First baseman Pete Alonso was 2019 National League Rookie of the Year and an NL All-Star. Alonso exploded onto the Big-League scene with 103 runs, 30 doubles, 53 home runs, 120 runs batted in, a .583 slugging percentage and .941 OPS. Was that a portent of things to come or is a sophomore jinx looming?
2020 New York Mets Win Total MLB Betting Odds Pick
While many fans are betting the come on the Mets more prudent gamblers are taking a wait and see approach. New York is a decent team but lacks the depth of the Braves and even the Nats, at least when it comes to overall pitching. Add in the New York hype machine and you have a team that is likely overvalued.
2020 New York Mets Win Total MLB Betting Odds Prediction: Under 86.5 wins
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