New York Yankees mania is already at fever proportions as the Bronx Bombers are the prohibitive favorite to win the American League pennant and co-favorites to win the World Series with the Los Angeles Dodgers. New York won 103 games last year and 100 the year before that. The Yankees have an opening win total for the 2020 season at 103 wins. At first glance, it would be expected that a flood of public money will flow towards the over. The oddsmakers certainly expect that at -125. However, winning 103 games is quite a difficult task. Sine 1999 the Bronx Bombers have hit that total just three times. And the last time they reached the 104 wins necessary to win the bet was in 1963. Further, there are plenty of factors that may put 103 wins out of reach for 2020.
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2020 New York Yankees Win Total Odds at Bookmaker.eu: 103, -125 over, -105 under
The Yankees and their players are chalks to win everything at the start of the 2020 season. From championship odds to props it’s all listed in pinstripes, at least for now. New York ranks with the Los Angeles Lakers and Dallas Cowboys as a highly public team that attracts a lot of square money. Fan Boys from all over the world are exacerbating that handicapping value factor.
American League East
One factor that could work in the Yankees favor is their division. The American League East has a couple of pathetic patsies in the Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles. Both could lose 100 or more games in 2020. The Tampa Bay Rays are a nice story and often exceed expectations but are nowhere near the Yankees class. The Boston Red Sox could be the one wild card as a team that is undervalued. New York has the top payroll in all of baseball and has bought a considerable amount of quality talent with that price tag.
Load Management
“Load Management” is an NBA term that could well creep into the Major League Baseball conversation. If the Yankees run away with the American League East as expected and build up enough of a lead for home field advantage in the post season its highly possible that they would be resting key players, especially pitchers, for the playoff drive. That could turn winnable games into losses and harm the quest to clear the total of 103 wins.
On the Hill
A big reason for all of the hysteria regarding the Yankees is right hand starter Gerrit Cole, who arrives from the Houston Astros after signing the biggest contract for a pitcher in history. Cole is coming off back to back All-Star seasons and reached the coveted 20-win plateau in 2019. It may concern some that Cole is coming off the best season of his seven-year Major League career in a contract season. That would also work against the Yankees win total.
At the Plate
The Yankees have two favored candidates for the 2020 AL Most Valuable Player Award.
Right fielder Aaron Judge was 2017 AL Rookie of the Year but has missed significant playing time the past two seasons. There has been a considerable amount of betting the come in regards to Judge having a huge 2020 campaign.
Shortstop Gleyber Torres is only 23 years old and is coming off consecutive AL All-Star seasons. It is reasonable that as good as he has been, he can deliver even more for 2020.
2020 New York Yankees Win Total Odds Selection
It would take a very smooth ride with no obstacles to reach 103 wins. The Yankees are good enough to do it but its unlikely that they will.
MLB Betting Odds Pick: New York Yankees under 103 wins
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