Chicks dig the long ball and they’ll really dig the player who hits the most in 2021. Home runs are being hit at an astronomical rate and MLB’s big boppers are listed on the futures market to lead baseball in round trippers. It’s not a complete surprise to see the best player in baseball at the top of the odds list. Mike Trout is the betting favorite with Pete Alonso a close second. They are the only two players currently with shorter than 10/1 odds. If you trust Luke Voit to have another monster season he can be bought at a good price. Voit led the majors with 22 big flies last year, a number that projects to 59 over the course of a 162-game slate. Voit had just 40 homers in 227 games prior to the 2020 season so there is a risk the number regresses. Let’s take a look at a few of the favorites and other players who have value in the home run leader futures market. Visit BookMaker.eu for a complete list of odds and to make your wager.
2021 MLB Home Run Leader Odds at BookMaker.eu
Mike Trout +850
Pete Alonso +900
Juan Soto +1307
Ronald Acuna Jr. +1307
Aaron Judge +1478
Joey Gallo +1507
Cody Bellinger +1809
Eloy Jimenez +1809
Yordan Alvarez +1809
Eugenio Suarez +2316
Matt Olson +2316
Giancarlo Stanton +2410
Bryce Harper +2516
Christian Yelich +2819
Jorge Soler +2871
Franmil Reyes +3023
Manny Machado +3023
Miguel Sano +3023
Trevor Story +3326
Gleyber Torres +3326
Jose Abreu +3326
Rafael Devers +3326
2021 MLB Home Run Leader Favorites
Being the best player in baseball has its advantages. Trout will be the first pick in countless fantasy drafts, he’s also raking in big bucks after inking a deal with the Angels, and he has to be considered among the favorites for any individual award. Ah, and that’s the case here. Trout’s been a consistent long ball threat since reaching the show full time in 2012. He really busted out in 2019, though, clubbing a career-best 45 homers in just 134 games. He could’ve led the league if not for Alonso’s breakout season and strong close. Trout slugged 17 homers last season to finish five off the pace of Voit.
One troubling trend with Trout is injuries. He hasn’t played more than 140 games in any of the past four seasons, and staying off the field will seriously impact his chances of leading the Majors in home runs. They call it gambling for a reason and if Trout does stick it out and play 150 games or so, there’s a good chance he leads baseball. After all, he does have the talent and skill to hit 50 homers.
You can’t argue with Alonso’s production, which is why he’s high on the odds list. Alonso set a rookie record with 53 homers in 2019 and followed that with 16 in 57 games last year. That still works out to be 43 homers over 162 games, which isn’t shabby. And Alonso has been durable over his brief career giving him an edge in that category. Can Juan Soto get any better? If he can a home run title is his for the taking. What makes Soto an intriguing option is his patience at the plate. Unlike most long ball hitters he’s selective having struck out just 28 times in 154 at-bats last season.
2021 MLB Home Run Leader Longshots
When it comes to home runs it’s hard to consider Giancarlo Stanton a longshot. He is listed further down the board for a reason and that’s his health. Stanton just hasn’t been able to stay on the field the last few years. But when he is playing no one is feared more. That 2017 MVP campaign when be bashed 59 homers for the Marlins seems like so long ago. He’s been limited to 41 regular season games over the previous two seasons, but should he find the magic elixir that keeps him in the lineup there’s no reason to think he can’t lead the majors. It’s a risk, but at +2410 the payout is substantial.
There are so many bashers in baseball it’s hard to pick just one. We don’t know what’s going to happen over the course of a season, which players get injured and who has a bad year. There are a few players in the NL West I have an eye on. One is Cody Bellinger, who I expect to bounce back after a lean 2020. He picked things up in the second half of last season smacking 10 homers over the final 37 games, a 43-homer pace over 162 games. And there’s Trevor Story, who gets a boost by playing half his games in the thin air in Denver. He doesn’t have Nolan Arenado around him in the lineup, but that shouldn’t hinder his production.
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