The Sunday nighter will mark the conclusion of the third series of the 2021 MLB betting season between the New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies when the rivals close out a three-game set from CBP. The home team dominated in the first two series with the Phillies taking two of three and the Mets answering by busting the brooms out in the showdown in Queens. Unfortunately, MLB bettors at online sportsbooks won’t get a pitching matchup between aces in the finale with left-hander David Peterson set to square off against righty Zach Eflin. It will mark the third time Bryce Harper and his mates will have stared back at the south paw this season, while Eflin will throw at the Metropolitans for the first time since 2019. Philadelphia will be tabbed modest sized favorites to come out of this one with it the owner of the better pitcher and the Mets managing just three wins in their last 10 visits to the City of Brotherly Love.
First pitch for this primetime showdown between the New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies is scheduled for Sunday, May 2, 2021, at 7 p.m. ET from Citizens Bank Park. This week’s Sunday Night Baseball telecast will air live on ESPN. Bet on MLB odds at BookMaker.eu every day of the season.
MLB Odds at BookMaker.eu
Odds Analysis
You likely haven’t backed the Mets or Phillies if you’ve made money betting on baseball to this point. After just dropping the series opener against the Boston Red Sox on Tuesday night, New York fell to .500 (9-9) for the season which has equated to a -$299 return on $100 investment. While it owns a winning mark at home, the Mets have managed only three wins through nine tries away from Citi Field which has amounted to over $430 in baseball betting losses. Philadelphia’s been no great shake either with it now a game under .500 overall and down over $160 for its wagering supporters after falling at St. Louis on Tuesday night. One area the Phillies have excelled however has been at home where they’ve won eight of 12 games and turned a $330+ profit. On the road, they’re down an even $400! The over is 4-2 between these teams in 2021 with an average of 7.8 runs scored per game.
Probable Pitchers
David Peterson: Though he was tagged for the loss, the lefty should’ve been rewarded for the job he did against the Red Sox in his last turn. Boston’s the owner of one of the more efficient offenses in all of baseball yet Peterson held Xander Bogaerts and company to just four hits (1 HR) and 2 ER over his six innings on Tuesday night. Unfortunately, New York’s offense failed to show up once again. Still, the effort amounted to being his second quality start of 2021. He’ll enter his fifth start 1-3 with a 5.59 ERA and 21:6 K/BB ratio through his near 20 innings of work. Most of those strikeouts came against the Phillies in his second start when he rang ‘em up 10 times. The long ball has however been an issue for the lefty evidenced by his lofty 1.9 home run per nine innings. He served one up to Jean Segura back on April 14. Peterson’s 1-1 with a bloated 9.00 ERA and .256 BAA against Philadelphia lifetime.
Zach Eflin: Tonight will mark Eflin’s fourth home start of the season after taking his first loss of the year on Tuesday night in St. Louis. He’ll return home looking to improve upon his 2.77 ERA and .250 BAA versus a Mets offense he would’ve faced back on April 15 had the game not been rained out. Even though New York ranks out as the absolute worst scoring offense in the league, it’s still done a number against both left and right-handed pitching which should have Eflin’s radar on high alert. Especially when you take into account that he’s been nothing if not dreadful versus the Mets over the course of his career. Through 11 all-time starts, the righty checks in 3-4 with a 5.21 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and insane 1.160 BAA! Michael Conforto has owned him so you might want to think about targeting him for some player prop goodness!
Mets vs. Phillies Prediction
The over has been a moneymaker in Sunday Night Baseball telecasts thus far. On paper, the finale of this series looks destined to keep that streak intact. Seriously, how could you not just bet the over blindly as terrible each of these starting pitchers have been against the opposing offenses over the course of their careers? Throw in the recent series trend of high scorers playing out, and the books are going to be huge fans of the under come primetime Sunday night. So ask yourself; do you want to be with the books or against them? I’m going with the former since I truly don’t have a real feel for how this one plays out from a W/L perspective with first place in the NL East possibly on the line. I’ll invest in an end result that pisses a majority of those betting the game off instead.
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