It isn't easy to get an honest read on the New York Mets. Each year the Mets are touted as the team to beat in the National League East. Much of the problem lies with a media that is largely from New York and grew up as Mets fans. Another factor in Mets mania is their large fan base. New York fanatics have never been rational since the 1969 Miracle Mets world championship. All of this has turned the Mets into a perpetual overlay. Therefore, it is wise not to trust and always verify New York. So far this season, the Mets are checking all of the boxes. In like manner, the St. Louis Cardinals are off to a flying start in the National League Central.
On Tuesday, April 26, 2022, the New York Mets will host the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. This game is set for 7:45 p.m. ET with television coverage on TBS.
MLB Betting Odds at BookMaker.eu
The Mets will be overpriced in this spot due to their popularity and hot start. Sharps love a quality home team like St. Louis getting a good price.
New York Mets
The Mets have won six of their last seven games. In three of their most recent four games, New York has gone under the total. Now, the Mets stand at 9-3 straight up and 4-7-1 under the total. New York is 5-2 on the road with 2-4-1 under the total in away games. MLB metrics show the Mets 7th for run production, 8th for home runs, 1st for earned run average, and 17th for bullpen earned run average.
Right-hander Chris Basstit is the probable starter for the Mets. Bassitt is 2-0 with a 0.75 earned run average and WHIP of 0.67. Last year with Oakland, Bassitt was 12-4 with a 3.15 earned run average and WHIP of 0.87.
Edwin Diaz has one save in one opportunity with a 1.80 earned run average. Last year, Diaz saved 32 games in 38 chances with a subpar earned run average of 3.45.
At the plate, first baseman Pete Alonso is hitting just .217 but has produced eight runs, three doubles, three home runs, and 14 runs batted in.
Shortstop Francisco Lindor is hitting .310 with four doubles, three home runs, ten runs, nine runs batted in, and a 1.061 OPS.
St. Louis Cardinals
The Cardinals have won four of their most recent six games. In three of their last five matchups, St. Louis has gone under the total. As a result, the Cardinals are 6-3 with 5-3-1 over the total. The Cardinals have MLB metrics of 3rd for run production, 9th for home runs, 8th for earned run average, and 3rd for bullpen ERA. St. Louis is 3-1 at home with 3-0-1 over the total at Busch Stadium.
Right-hander Jordan Hicks is the probable starter for the Cardinals. Hicks is 1-0 with a 0.00 earned run average and WHIP of 0.75. The hard-throwing rookie has five strikeouts in four innings pitched.
Closer Giovanny Gallegos has two saves in two chances with a 0.00 earned run average. Last year Gallegos posted 23 holds with 14 saves in 22 opportunities.
Third baseman Nolan Arenado has produced nine runs, five doubles, four home runs, 12 runs batted in, and a 1.344 OPS.
Second baseman Tommy Edman has four runs, three home runs, seven runs batted in, and a 1.154 OPS.
New York vs. St. Louis Prediction
In this situation, the Cardinals will get a better price than usual at home based on the Mets' popularity.
BookMaker Pick: St. Louis Cardinals
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